{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8e8045d1-4617-4a32-94bf-cf3fca7cd789", "symbol": "301011", "name": "GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.123, "architecture_energy": 63.555, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 29.59, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.75, "rotation_down": 53.32, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.416667, 14.547014, 15.983692, 17.808229 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 14.85, "trend_reference": 20.416404, "distance_from_trend": -0.272644, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.068377, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.327091, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.173396, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.43299, "excess_performance": -0.440389, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.272644, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.150032, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.327091, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.212504, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.391734, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003505, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.43299, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.517166, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12120773, "relative_activity": 1.194842, "balance": 0.517166, "dry_up": 1.317717, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085657, "annualized_volatility": 0.304199, "from_high_reference": -0.549864, "from_low_reference": 0.123298 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.416404, "fair_value_reference": 22.068377, "structural_low": 13.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.027308, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": -0.037646, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.317952, "worst_return": -0.190851, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.086538, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.02343, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.498593, "worst_return": -0.333474, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.186563, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.05717, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.066807, "worst_return": -0.373239, "sufficient": 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"activity_lines": [ 14.236, 14.575364, 16.297702, 18.190664 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.85, "volume": 12120773, "typical_volume": 10144244.05, "trend": 20.416404, "fair_value": 22.068377, "relative_strength": -39.173396, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.122852, "energy": 63.555286, "activity_lines": [ 14.416667, 14.547014, 15.983692, 17.808229 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }