{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8e8b87a4-cf1f-4c3b-b3fc-284d49466125",
    "symbol": "STAG",
    "name": "STAG Industrial Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 48.155,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 24.505,
    "architecture_energy": 19.927,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.663,
    "architecture_confidence": 57.77,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.41,
        "rotation_up": 46.07,
        "upward_expansion": 69.33,
        "deceleration": 55.27,
        "rotation_down": 22.23,
        "downward_expansion": 12.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        39.014,
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        38.67246,
        38.411747
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 37.3,
    "trend_reference": 38.115789,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.021403,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 35.064703,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.063748,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.275099,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.040936,
    "excess_performance": -0.16656,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021403,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0107,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063748,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052976,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.112751,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052373,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040936,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.644197,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8134362,
      "relative_activity": 1.178389,
      "balance": 0.644197,
      "dry_up": 1.406325,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049363,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.22717,
      "from_high_reference": -0.124619,
      "from_low_reference": 0.12152
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.115789,
      "fair_value_reference": 35.064703,
      "structural_low": 35.389703,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": -0.001419,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005163,
        "regime_survival": 0.678571,
        "best_return": 0.080594,
        "worst_return": -0.097909,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.009905,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.022761,
        "regime_survival": 0.416667,
        "best_return": 0.049508,
        "worst_return": -0.097204,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.04511,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.076252,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
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        "worst_return": -0.304192,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.188368,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
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        "return": -0.068709,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 6582316.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 34.684045,
        "relative_strength": -9.02654,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 21.694512,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 6120486.3,
        "trend": 37.692071,
        "fair_value": 34.855447,
        "relative_strength": -3.710085,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "energy": 36.239803,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 38.98,
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        "typical_volume": 6222621.6,
        "trend": 37.752941,
        "fair_value": 34.888711,
        "relative_strength": -5.272267,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.053076,
        "energy": 46.145971,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.78902,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 41.68,
        "volume": 11031877,
        "typical_volume": 6432862.8,
        "trend": 37.917945,
        "fair_value": 34.937793,
        "relative_strength": 2.863319,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.93995,
        "energy": 73.222356,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.817628,
          38.971672,
          38.475355,
          38.246214
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 41.11,
        "volume": 7957828,
        "typical_volume": 6571812.0,
        "trend": 38.064277,
        "fair_value": 34.992488,
        "relative_strength": 2.026497,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.656972,
        "energy": 73.493089,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.436847,
          39.461154,
          38.764334,
          38.452153
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.26,
        "volume": 11707135,
        "typical_volume": 6886553.8,
        "trend": 38.122027,
        "fair_value": 35.031212,
        "relative_strength": -5.970014,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.215635,
        "energy": 54.497726,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.86,
          39.364805,
          38.765622,
          38.464781
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.3,
        "volume": 8134362,
        "typical_volume": 6902954.25,
        "trend": 38.115789,
        "fair_value": 35.064703,
        "relative_strength": -11.275099,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.505385,
        "energy": 19.927327,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.014,
          39.084921,
          38.67246,
          38.411747
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}