{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8e8fe0a7-739e-4743-8803-5670f114207a",
    "symbol": "RPG",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR S&P 500 PURE GWTH ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 25.119,
    "architecture_energy": 21.835,
    "architecture_maturity": 67.661,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.58,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.85,
        "rotation_up": 18.36,
        "upward_expansion": 52.12,
        "deceleration": 93.97,
        "rotation_down": 36.6,
        "downward_expansion": 20.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        57.316,
        58.42149,
        58.137534,
        56.303493
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 58.42,
    "trend_reference": 53.929705,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.083262,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 41.943654,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.392821,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.456527,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.196095,
    "excess_performance": 0.07047,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083262,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083124,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.392821,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062456,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024565,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053443,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.196095,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.309395,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5499417,
      "relative_activity": 1.653242,
      "balance": 1.309395,
      "dry_up": 1.238733,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.063306,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.245279,
      "from_high_reference": -0.087971,
      "from_low_reference": 0.346448
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 53.929705,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.943654,
      "structural_low": 44.3701,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.027978,
        "positive_rate": 0.727273,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.727273,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003809,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.102341,
        "worst_return": -0.149539,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.01193,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048507,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.051803,
        "worst_return": -0.118247,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.154114,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007663,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.23889,
        "worst_return": -0.12263,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.165754,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043908,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.345015,
        "worst_return": -0.280434,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-22",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.038329,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.031723,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.183771,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.065082,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.118307,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.062645,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.197056,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.096584,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.035334,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.042331,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.034349,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.177642,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.044188,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.029609,
        "active": true
      }
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 2942624.15,
        "trend": 52.698181,
        "fair_value": 41.279643,
        "relative_strength": 9.227953,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 56.45,
        "volume": 3969779,
        "typical_volume": 3085152.15,
        "trend": 53.006304,
        "fair_value": 41.442968,
        "relative_strength": 3.118467,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.293322,
        "energy": 35.450672,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.333876,
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          55.580975
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 56.74,
        "volume": 2152292,
        "typical_volume": 3052731.4,
        "trend": 53.30888,
        "fair_value": 41.606694,
        "relative_strength": 4.21637,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.97477,
        "energy": 22.959138,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.175333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 55.95,
        "volume": 4860807,
        "typical_volume": 3147275.55,
        "trend": 53.595786,
        "fair_value": 41.768271,
        "relative_strength": 1.645339,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.382515,
        "energy": 22.558446,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.152667,
          58.570869,
          57.90449,
          55.992254
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 58.42,
        "volume": 5499417,
        "typical_volume": 3326443.45,
        "trend": 53.929705,
        "fair_value": 41.943654,
        "relative_strength": 2.456527,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.118518,
        "energy": 21.834648,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.316,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}