{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8e90a53f-73bb-405a-afc6-30ea833b76e2", "symbol": "AAME", "name": "Atlantic American Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.315, "architecture_energy": 73.394, "architecture_maturity": 64.568, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.52, "rotation_up": 23.97, "upward_expansion": 14.97, "deceleration": 44.51, "rotation_down": 67.11, "downward_expansion": 92.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.558, 1.617636, 1.834929, 2.019129 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 1.53, "trend_reference": 2.253667, "distance_from_trend": -0.321106, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.068156, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.260211, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -48.085038, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.388, "excess_performance": -0.575454, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.321106, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.135586, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.260211, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.480624, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.48085, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.29784, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.388, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.485234, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 96750, "relative_activity": 1.578911, "balance": 0.485234, "dry_up": 1.007749, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117647, "annualized_volatility": 0.608735, "from_high_reference": -0.587601, "from_low_reference": 0.02 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.253667, "fair_value_reference": 2.068156, "structural_low": 1.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.004484, "positive_rate": 0.515152, "directional_follow_through": 0.484848, "median_excess_return": -0.024243, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.352613, "worst_return": -0.22043, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.061798, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.062869, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.457064, "worst_return": -0.370968, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.130898, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.271526, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.394745, "worst_return": -0.393484, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.12426, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.138584, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.149821, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.156295, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.049724, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-10-10", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.602049, "energy": 87.121146, "activity_lines": [ 1.670667, 1.749636, 2.004881, 2.173547 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.57, "volume": 36375, "typical_volume": 60393.35, "trend": 2.348493, "fair_value": 2.071586, "relative_strength": -44.725976, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.827533, "energy": 87.110807, "activity_lines": [ 1.624, 1.697455, 1.945167, 2.121214 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.54, "volume": 19798, "typical_volume": 58925.8, "trend": 2.303827, "fair_value": 2.069562, "relative_strength": -45.617139, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.303312, "energy": 84.211787, "activity_lines": [ 1.587333, 1.652182, 1.887595, 2.069053 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.53, "volume": 96750, "typical_volume": 61276.4, "trend": 2.253667, "fair_value": 2.068156, "relative_strength": -48.085038, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.31495, "energy": 73.394202, "activity_lines": [ 1.558, 1.617636, 1.834929, 2.019129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }