{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8e942874-b974-4161-b0ba-d23d1afdae9c", "symbol": "XWQS", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI World Quality ESG UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.71, "architecture_energy": 69.027, "architecture_maturity": 74.117, "architecture_confidence": 65.097, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.79, "rotation_up": 53.03, "upward_expansion": 80.67, "deceleration": 73.61, "rotation_down": 28.14, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.035667, 41.862455, 41.180274, 40.406683 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 42.91, "trend_reference": 39.5505, "distance_from_trend": 0.084942, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.534601, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.279574, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.636696, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.126321, "excess_performance": 0.075085, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.084942, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041026, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.279574, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06946, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.036367, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001406, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.126321, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.502664, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4446, "relative_activity": 0.354742, "balance": 1.502664, "dry_up": 0.761447, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016629, "annualized_volatility": 0.117393, "from_high_reference": -0.112748, "from_low_reference": 0.288022 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.5505, "fair_value_reference": 33.534601, "structural_low": 35.794998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.02138, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.001897, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.086412, "worst_return": -0.076402, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.045867, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.014676, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.090032, "worst_return": -0.153911, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.038383, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.056413, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.126399, "worst_return": -0.049633, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"gate": "up", "direction": 64.666742, "energy": 70.51071, "activity_lines": [ 41.761167, 41.569546, 40.739953, 40.039393 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.445, "volume": 4372, "typical_volume": 18427.45, "trend": 39.402, "fair_value": 33.42537, "relative_strength": 0.542041, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.923472, "energy": 59.24139, "activity_lines": [ 41.654334, 41.590182, 40.900024, 40.18036 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.91, "volume": 4446, "typical_volume": 12533.05, "trend": 39.5505, "fair_value": 33.534601, "relative_strength": 3.636696, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.70963, "energy": 69.026886, "activity_lines": [ 42.035667, 41.862455, 41.180274, 40.406683 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }