{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8e990d30-fd8a-457b-94c0-ccb1b7e444fb",
    "symbol": "PACO",
    "name": "President Automobile Industries Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 73.382,
    "architecture_energy": 67.49,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.867,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.431,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.04,
        "rotation_up": 76.78,
        "upward_expansion": 89.87,
        "deceleration": 51.46,
        "rotation_down": 14.44,
        "downward_expansion": 11.87
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.458,
        1.429636,
        1.380694,
        1.33577
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 1.47,
    "trend_reference": 1.272833,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.154904,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.262122,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.164706,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.673465,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.388665,
    "excess_performance": 0.196339,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.154904,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053296,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.164706,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.151021,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006735,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099299,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.388665,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 143.61057,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1470400,
      "relative_activity": 1.450871,
      "balance": 143.61057,
      "dry_up": 1.761071,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0382,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.14682,
      "from_high_reference": -0.045455,
      "from_low_reference": 0.479512
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.272833,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.262122,
      "structural_low": 1.058571,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.007382,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024272,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.066667,
        "worst_return": -0.057554,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.043165,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.064366,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.014814,
        "worst_return": -0.065218,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.155156,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.161447,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.020623,
        "worst_return": -0.330935,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.163005,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.220184,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.066076,
        "worst_return": -0.392086,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.09637,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027972,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
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        "return": -0.013986,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.05085,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-08-22",
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        "return": 0.074918,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.007247,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.051471,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.007634,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1196175.0,
        "trend": 1.2025,
        "fair_value": 1.276815,
        "relative_strength": -9.715769,
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 362200,
        "typical_volume": 1041400.0,
        "trend": 1.231738,
        "fair_value": 1.265961,
        "relative_strength": -5.084089,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 83.047835,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 2634300,
        "typical_volume": 1070025.0,
        "trend": 1.238833,
        "fair_value": 1.26541,
        "relative_strength": -3.959355,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.906358,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 2570500,
        "typical_volume": 1048320.0,
        "trend": 1.246595,
        "fair_value": 1.2645,
        "relative_strength": -3.423002,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.395584,
        "energy": 71.670982,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.41,
          1.382545,
          1.336153,
          1.295492
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.46,
        "volume": 2199600,
        "typical_volume": 978800.0,
        "trend": 1.255024,
        "fair_value": 1.263816,
        "relative_strength": -2.109585,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.653486,
        "energy": 69.403286,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.432,
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          1.351946,
          1.30926
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.46,
        "volume": 898600,
        "typical_volume": 983835.0,
        "trend": 1.264071,
        "fair_value": 1.262839,
        "relative_strength": -0.820336,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.119116,
        "energy": 68.246848,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.446667,
          1.415818,
          1.366446,
          1.322484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.47,
        "volume": 1470400,
        "typical_volume": 1013460.0,
        "trend": 1.272833,
        "fair_value": 1.262122,
        "relative_strength": 0.673465,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.382446,
        "energy": 67.489788,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.458,
          1.429636,
          1.380694,
          1.33577
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}