{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8e9cb12a-112d-4dd5-ac93-74ab295c5db7", "symbol": "SMBK", "name": "SmartFinancial, Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.287, "architecture_energy": 81.042, "architecture_maturity": 49.009, "architecture_confidence": 82.259, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.37, "rotation_up": 79.02, "upward_expansion": 93.6, "deceleration": 44.47, "rotation_down": 10.4, "downward_expansion": 17.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.771195, 49.094781, 46.413026, 44.704767 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 51.93, "trend_reference": 42.824932, "distance_from_trend": 0.212611, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.288286, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.659727, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 16.069619, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.213005, "excess_performance": 0.08738, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.212611, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091079, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.659727, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.21937, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.160696, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.138386, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.213005, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.066593, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 613858, "relative_activity": 1.350179, "balance": 2.066593, "dry_up": 1.527288, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056822, "annualized_volatility": 0.251074, "from_high_reference": -0.040818, "from_low_reference": 0.601582 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.824932, "fair_value_reference": 31.288286, "structural_low": 36.747422, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.021669, "positive_rate": 0.62069, "directional_follow_through": 0.62069, "median_excess_return": 0.008563, "regime_survival": 0.758621, "best_return": 0.15822, "worst_return": -0.135588, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.004385, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.001174, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.193977, "worst_return": -0.123059, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.002043, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.000617, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.262822, "worst_return": -0.276304, "sufficient": true }, { 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42.403485 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 48.067441, "volume": 478177, "typical_volume": 402527.15, "trend": 41.404566, "fair_value": 30.7587, "relative_strength": 13.391106, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.45209, "energy": 78.305147, "activity_lines": [ 47.212023, 45.897489, 44.007471, 42.853839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 49.924252, "volume": 921592, "typical_volume": 427402.5, "trend": 41.813621, "fair_value": 30.92708, "relative_strength": 17.998486, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.316821, "energy": 77.935085, "activity_lines": [ 48.235153, 46.876547, 44.726682, 43.403497 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 52.4, "volume": 763894, "typical_volume": 451446.45, "trend": 42.346695, "fair_value": 31.108415, "relative_strength": 21.830559, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.56342, "energy": 79.620637, "activity_lines": [ 49.731916, 48.12621, 45.626343, 44.086489 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.93, "volume": 613858, "typical_volume": 454649.25, "trend": 42.824932, "fair_value": 31.288286, "relative_strength": 16.069619, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.287261, "energy": 81.041579, "activity_lines": [ 50.771195, 49.094781, 46.413026, 44.704767 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }