{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8e9e4724-074a-470f-bfd0-e49997826b0f", "symbol": "TINT", "name": "PROSHARES TRUST SMART MATERIALS ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.294, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.805, "architecture_energy": 19.014, "architecture_maturity": 36.11, "architecture_confidence": 84.364, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.58, "rotation_up": 30.46, "upward_expansion": 57.58, "deceleration": 87.59, "rotation_down": 33.92, "downward_expansion": 21.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.50104, 39.446295, 39.74053, 39.199643 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 41.76, "trend_reference": 38.482173, "distance_from_trend": 0.085178, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.497576, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.285019, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.378062, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.100717, "excess_performance": -0.024908, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.085178, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060382, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.285019, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00069, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.033781, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05129, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.100717, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.591991, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1824, "relative_activity": 0.584522, "balance": 0.591991, "dry_up": 0.848342, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040453, "annualized_volatility": 0.313651, "from_high_reference": -0.010731, "from_low_reference": 0.353299 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.482173, "fair_value_reference": 32.497576, "structural_low": 33.471821, "invalidation": "A 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25.375945, "activity_lines": [ 39.992641, 40.350546, 39.590038, 38.827672 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 38.5445, "volume": 615, "typical_volume": 3324.45, "trend": 37.76642, "fair_value": 32.327543, "relative_strength": -1.926182, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.127277, "energy": 19.657944, "activity_lines": [ 39.433896, 40.006383, 39.57354, 38.889063 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 38.41, "volume": 3275, "typical_volume": 3161.85, "trend": 37.94495, "fair_value": 32.362946, "relative_strength": -0.809078, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.639662, "energy": 21.155263, "activity_lines": [ 38.910308, 39.658169, 39.547815, 38.930584 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.5037, "volume": 1007, "typical_volume": 3089.4, "trend": 38.107729, "fair_value": 32.394964, "relative_strength": -0.039069, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.994557, "energy": 18.755664, "activity_lines": [ 38.624827, 39.372585, 39.536193, 38.966633 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.21, "volume": 4483, "typical_volume": 3226.2, "trend": 38.250604, "fair_value": 32.432853, "relative_strength": -1.942419, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.363178, "energy": 17.961868, "activity_lines": [ 38.43612, 39.065694, 39.47832, 38.973231 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.76, "volume": 1824, "typical_volume": 3120.5, "trend": 38.482173, "fair_value": 32.497576, "relative_strength": 3.378062, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.805139, "energy": 19.013617, "activity_lines": [ 39.50104, 39.446295, 39.74053, 39.199643 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }