{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8e9e89aa-f52c-47a2-9fde-693bb5356b7f",
    "symbol": "JPNK",
    "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi JPX-Nikkei 400",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 76.508,
    "architecture_energy": 45.772,
    "architecture_maturity": 55.579,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.446,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.43,
        "rotation_up": 44.74,
        "upward_expansion": 72.91,
        "deceleration": 91.42,
        "rotation_down": 28.27,
        "downward_expansion": 10.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        247.868,
        247.409563,
        243.818921,
        239.723155
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 255.169998,
    "trend_reference": 234.694129,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.087245,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 192.543697,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.325258,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.374704,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.123567,
    "excess_performance": 0.070255,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087245,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056325,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.325258,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039354,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073747,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056903,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123567,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.209483,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 941,
      "relative_activity": 0.484004,
      "balance": 1.209483,
      "dry_up": 1.314294,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.027145,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.196941,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.307185
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 234.694129,
      "fair_value_reference": 192.543697,
      "structural_low": 212.543594,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.018243,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013432,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.081401,
        "worst_return": -0.026895,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.0195,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029348,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.138487,
        "worst_return": -0.066838,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.01466,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012478,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.098728,
        "worst_return": -0.088894,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.022141,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.045652,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.262146,
        "worst_return": -0.130539,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.008568,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.043513,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.050478,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.040037,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031996,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.030507,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.000487,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.063193,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.029869,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.079038,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.081758,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.073342,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.077564,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
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    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 1598.75,
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "direction": 70.606232,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 1868.85,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 86.905186,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1897.1,
        "trend": 229.982583,
        "fair_value": 190.266698,
        "relative_strength": 11.629326,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.871473,
        "energy": 86.008437,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 240.389999,
        "volume": 6422,
        "typical_volume": 2107.15,
        "trend": 231.052562,
        "fair_value": 190.807033,
        "relative_strength": 6.687997,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.085867,
        "energy": 52.196002,
        "activity_lines": [
          246.654002,
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          240.404722,
          236.669973
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 245.220001,
        "volume": 902,
        "typical_volume": 1857.7,
        "trend": 232.303772,
        "fair_value": 191.344969,
        "relative_strength": 7.99336,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.704731,
        "energy": 45.572354,
        "activity_lines": [
          245.784668,
          245.745087,
          241.378672,
          237.584001
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 243.800003,
        "volume": 1956,
        "typical_volume": 1930.7,
        "trend": 233.509346,
        "fair_value": 191.906945,
        "relative_strength": 5.359441,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.603758,
        "energy": 31.720597,
        "activity_lines": [
          244.830668,
          245.583618,
          242.107088,
          238.325693
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 255.169998,
        "volume": 941,
        "typical_volume": 1944.2,
        "trend": 234.694129,
        "fair_value": 192.543697,
        "relative_strength": 7.374704,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.50776,
        "energy": 45.771701,
        "activity_lines": [
          247.868,
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          243.818921,
          239.723155
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}