{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8eb52ca7-6737-4444-9a3c-653beb0dac9d",
    "symbol": "UMCN",
    "name": "UNITED MICRO ELECTRONICS",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 41.857,
    "architecture_energy": 36.717,
    "architecture_maturity": 77.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.28,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.27,
        "rotation_up": 30.05,
        "upward_expansion": 66.87,
        "deceleration": 85.5,
        "rotation_down": 31.16,
        "downward_expansion": 25.87
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 327.600006,
    "trend_reference": 259.828866,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.26083,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 164.346372,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.993351,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 57.645,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.790164,
    "excess_performance": 0.844831,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.26083,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.50894,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.993351,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.77091,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.57645,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.498917,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.790164,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.014644,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 33,
      "relative_activity": 0.685358,
      "balance": 1.014644,
      "dry_up": 0.218069,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.132252,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.230254,
      "from_high_reference": -0.318149,
      "from_low_reference": 1.642575
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 164.346372,
      "structural_low": 178.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.004641,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016773,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.0,
        "worst_return": -0.224104,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.054399,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004985,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.699197,
        "worst_return": -0.113965,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.093463,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.236842,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.053915,
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        "worst_return": 0.084135,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-06-28",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2024-08-30",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "direction": 97.234493,
        "energy": 99.01195,
        "activity_lines": [
          411.254371,
          341.280257,
          273.041006,
          243.143868
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 467.946241,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 60.0,
        "trend": 218.5702,
        "fair_value": 156.103142,
        "relative_strength": 151.845546,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.921229,
        "energy": 96.405292,
        "activity_lines": [
          434.815137,
          374.06467,
          295.386745,
          259.94511
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 462.0,
        "volume": 331,
        "typical_volume": 76.55,
        "trend": 229.188199,
        "fair_value": 158.211276,
        "relative_strength": 143.172087,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.834583,
        "energy": 72.214557,
        "activity_lines": [
          451.397406,
          400.496198,
          315.809288,
          275.650258
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 462.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 46.05,
        "trend": 239.806199,
        "fair_value": 160.319409,
        "relative_strength": 135.588091,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.882747,
        "energy": 69.76487,
        "activity_lines": [
          460.805795,
          421.76409,
          334.90326,
          290.670375
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 350.0,
        "volume": 9,
        "typical_volume": 46.5,
        "trend": 246.690866,
        "fair_value": 161.709593,
        "relative_strength": 75.876221,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.71654,
        "energy": 66.804495,
        "activity_lines": [
          426.689965,
          417.504709,
          341.978184,
          297.779652
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 350.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 46.5,
        "trend": 253.575532,
        "fair_value": 163.099777,
        "relative_strength": 71.35713,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.410856,
        "energy": 53.873314,
        "activity_lines": [
          395.196416,
          410.118055,
          348.23406,
          304.444757
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 327.600006,
        "volume": 33,
        "typical_volume": 48.15,
        "trend": 259.828866,
        "fair_value": 164.346372,
        "relative_strength": 57.645,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.856651,
        "energy": 36.717141,
        "activity_lines": [
          364.933335,
          395.531402,
          351.537556,
          309.22053
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}