{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8ec65573-7e2a-4889-a8ec-cabda16735af", "symbol": "AME", "name": "AMETEK, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 92.671, "architecture_energy": 74.905, "architecture_maturity": 57.821, "architecture_confidence": 86.141, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.3, "rotation_up": 67.44, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.67, "rotation_down": 23.44, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 4202.593392, 4166.859599, 4086.332179, 3997.856244 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4331.240234, "trend_reference": 3848.274934, "distance_from_trend": 0.125502, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3342.689296, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.295735, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.564414, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.272137, "excess_performance": 0.326804, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.125502, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064971, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.295735, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047567, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.155644, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.118215, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.272137, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.481431, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5339, "relative_activity": 17.261558, "balance": 7.481431, "dry_up": 4.8828, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017351, "annualized_volatility": 0.227762, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.272253 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3848.274934, "fair_value_reference": 3342.689296, "structural_low": 3404.695557, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": 0.008804, "regime_survival": 0.71875, "best_return": 0.100767, "worst_return": -0.113942, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 9.2e-05, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.028125, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.119085, "worst_return": -0.156254, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.057417, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.00455, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.196492, "worst_return": -0.259779, 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.236003, "energy": 88.314539, "activity_lines": [ 4178.933268, 4107.812603, 4044.077903, 3944.643115 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4105.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 42.35, "trend": 3817.390111, "fair_value": 3331.972309, "relative_strength": 9.721369, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.746691, "energy": 67.326143, "activity_lines": [ 4149.359961, 4119.096872, 4055.151982, 3964.704623 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4331.240234, "volume": 5339, "typical_volume": 309.3, "trend": 3848.274934, "fair_value": 3342.689296, "relative_strength": 15.564414, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.670897, "energy": 74.904515, "activity_lines": [ 4202.593392, 4166.859599, 4086.332179, 3997.856244 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }