{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8eceb711-a2bc-48f7-9c3e-8f6667cd1c5e",
    "symbol": "VRE",
    "name": "Vanguard FTSE Canadian Capped REIT Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 68.177,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 43.226,
    "architecture_energy": 29.021,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.52,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.118,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.41,
        "rotation_up": 38.41,
        "upward_expansion": 65.2,
        "deceleration": 84.58,
        "rotation_down": 24.81,
        "downward_expansion": 15.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        32.537912
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 32.68,
    "trend_reference": 32.342824,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.010425,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.515526,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.07093,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.379089,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.009443,
    "excess_performance": -0.129864,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010425,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012062,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07093,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003301,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.113791,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01065,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009443,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.27043,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.72108,
      "balance": 1.27043,
      "dry_up": 1.113071,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024305,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.165212,
      "from_high_reference": -0.068225,
      "from_low_reference": 0.096177
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 30.515526,
      "structural_low": 29.812693,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.019514,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.063665,
        "sufficient": true
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        "typical_volume": 35628.9,
        "trend": 32.262944,
        "fair_value": 29.988432,
        "relative_strength": -11.982124,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.707589,
        "energy": 23.104646,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.202521,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 32.031483,
        "volume": 34000,
        "typical_volume": 35967.1,
        "trend": 32.182691,
        "fair_value": 30.018383,
        "relative_strength": -12.491723,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 0.983108,
        "energy": 18.938572,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.293546,
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          31.860837,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 32.081253,
        "volume": 30200,
        "typical_volume": 36637.15,
        "trend": 32.143273,
        "fair_value": 30.049066,
        "relative_strength": -12.444109,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 2.244055,
        "energy": 17.185833,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.261869,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 31.089527,
        "volume": 82700,
        "typical_volume": 40300.0,
        "trend": 32.060263,
        "fair_value": 30.07475,
        "relative_strength": -14.124961,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.457227,
        "energy": 16.462455,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.854556,
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          31.776734,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 31.927628,
        "volume": 72500,
        "typical_volume": 42430.0,
        "trend": 31.990375,
        "fair_value": 30.107459,
        "relative_strength": -13.089074,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.834519,
        "energy": 12.710405,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.778856,
          31.847181,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 31.957558,
        "volume": 36200,
        "typical_volume": 41375.0,
        "trend": 31.957369,
        "fair_value": 30.13671,
        "relative_strength": -13.332295,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.531783,
        "energy": 13.773506,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.797391,
          31.917017,
          31.768012,
          31.874844
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 32.57616,
        "volume": 6700,
        "typical_volume": 40010.0,
        "trend": 31.971183,
        "fair_value": 30.17105,
        "relative_strength": -10.36435,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 9.104413,
        "energy": 5.863175,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.050282,
          32.060328,
          31.829051,
          31.914766
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 32.923523,
        "volume": 11800,
        "typical_volume": 39620.0,
        "trend": 32.001194,
        "fair_value": 30.210634,
        "relative_strength": -10.387256,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.155619,
        "energy": 36.992375,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.382647,
          32.218904,
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          31.976208
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 32.599018,
        "volume": 6100,
        "typical_volume": 37965.0,
        "trend": 32.025008,
        "fair_value": 30.255475,
        "relative_strength": -10.961627,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.014616,
        "energy": 43.127964,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.550694,
          32.290876,
          31.997602,
          32.014777
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 33.197716,
        "volume": 19200,
        "typical_volume": 37240.0,
        "trend": 32.05888,
        "fair_value": 30.294284,
        "relative_strength": -8.983122,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.328505,
        "energy": 68.089179,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.817673,
          32.458506,
          32.122762,
          32.090436
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 33.906174,
        "volume": 4200,
        "typical_volume": 35080.0,
        "trend": 32.143289,
        "fair_value": 30.338465,
        "relative_strength": -7.357958,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.575247,
        "energy": 80.381534,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.236133,
          32.754833,
          32.314413,
          32.209616
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 33.517021,
        "volume": 37800,
        "typical_volume": 35530.0,
        "trend": 32.210427,
        "fair_value": 30.374992,
        "relative_strength": -8.169606,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.678745,
        "energy": 76.363249,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.394967,
          32.952654,
          32.458748,
          32.298244
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.869999,
        "volume": 50900,
        "typical_volume": 33935.0,
        "trend": 32.270148,
        "fair_value": 30.412715,
        "relative_strength": -6.716417,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.270883,
        "energy": 83.27461,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.608737,
          33.187644,
          32.629878,
          32.405313
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.07,
        "volume": 35900,
        "typical_volume": 32685.0,
        "trend": 32.307833,
        "fair_value": 30.447503,
        "relative_strength": -8.74863,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.271742,
        "energy": 70.800544,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.492742,
          33.244656,
          32.718725,
          32.456916
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.240002,
        "volume": 34800,
        "typical_volume": 32795.0,
        "trend": 32.35674,
        "fair_value": 30.48322,
        "relative_strength": -7.4349,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.449501,
        "energy": 44.849365,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.402015,
          33.296569,
          32.816562,
          32.517056
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 32.68,
        "volume": 23500,
        "typical_volume": 32590.0,
        "trend": 32.342824,
        "fair_value": 30.515526,
        "relative_strength": -11.379089,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.225689,
        "energy": 29.020802,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.121802,
          33.222802,
          32.849934,
          32.537912
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}