{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8ee1a594-d0f9-48b4-9f3f-c1894d1bf857", "symbol": "603333", "name": "Sunway Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 85.558, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 29.484, "architecture_energy": 18.75, "architecture_maturity": 29.804, "architecture_confidence": 81.534, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 69.69, "rotation_up": 44.23, "upward_expansion": 39.73, "deceleration": 51.0, "rotation_down": 23.07, "downward_expansion": 9.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.498, 8.276545, 8.369524, 8.342903 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 9.16, "trend_reference": 8.338667, "distance_from_trend": 0.098497, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.986992, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.529984, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.562353, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.155107, "excess_performance": 0.198311, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.098497, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008588, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.529984, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037275, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.115624, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.144721, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.155107, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.584476, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 111993644, "relative_activity": 1.429396, "balance": 0.584476, "dry_up": 1.055405, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094558, "annualized_volatility": 0.39499, "from_high_reference": -0.127619, "from_low_reference": 0.266943 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.338667, "fair_value_reference": 5.986992, "structural_low": 7.23, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.044862, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.020334, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.464986, "worst_return": -0.220039, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.004769, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.014113, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.636528, "worst_return": -0.253348, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.039717, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.059788, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.163752, "worst_return": -0.382812, "sufficient": true }, 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"stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.0488, "energy": 40.120296, "activity_lines": [ 7.903333, 8.148727, 8.28581, 8.294516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.27, "volume": 77350184, "typical_volume": 75946586.75, "trend": 8.309, "fair_value": 5.937871, "relative_strength": 4.033538, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.255498, "energy": 24.977523, "activity_lines": [ 8.032, 8.114182, 8.283667, 8.291978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.25, "volume": 83683487, "typical_volume": 76155106.1, "trend": 8.311667, "fair_value": 5.959292, "relative_strength": 3.354856, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.509156, "energy": 16.542482, "activity_lines": [ 8.136, 8.101091, 8.282333, 8.288172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.16, "volume": 111993644, "typical_volume": 78350348.3, "trend": 8.338667, "fair_value": 5.986992, "relative_strength": 11.562353, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.483772, "energy": 18.750001, "activity_lines": [ 8.498, 8.276545, 8.369524, 8.342903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }