{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8ee26024-5b21-47f4-bcce-9698167cc062", "symbol": "002235", "name": "Xiamen Annie Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.695, "architecture_energy": 50.662, "architecture_maturity": 25.055, "architecture_confidence": 89.767, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.26, "rotation_up": 15.0, "upward_expansion": 8.29, "deceleration": 45.32, "rotation_down": 59.49, "downward_expansion": 79.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.974667, 8.249091, 9.02, 9.387441 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.44, "trend_reference": 9.793333, "distance_from_trend": -0.138189, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.114359, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.186333, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.653689, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.13347, "excess_performance": -0.14087, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.138189, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031194, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.186333, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.597044, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.116537, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.257614, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.13347, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.309566, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 152195549, "relative_activity": 0.897078, "balance": 0.309566, "dry_up": 1.211057, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.155487, "annualized_volatility": 0.693643, "from_high_reference": -0.411437, "from_low_reference": 0.298462 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.793333, "fair_value_reference": 7.114359, "structural_low": 6.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.007318, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.026779, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.746615, "worst_return": -0.18, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.267459, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.093866, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 1.116049, "worst_return": -0.204724, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.07578, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.098841, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.467822, "worst_return": -0.114035, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 8.47, "volume": 286202993, "typical_volume": 185143583.6, "trend": 10.107667, "fair_value": 7.090705, "relative_strength": -9.103425, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.949922, "energy": 56.996765, "activity_lines": [ 8.619333, 9.003455, 9.610143, 9.832151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.56, "volume": 196086387, "typical_volume": 182599622.35, "trend": 9.958667, "fair_value": 7.091538, "relative_strength": -29.248136, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.954689, "energy": 60.857659, "activity_lines": [ 7.956, 8.478364, 9.290095, 9.603269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.03, "volume": 187372451, "typical_volume": 177489208.4, "trend": 9.856667, "fair_value": 7.100962, "relative_strength": -11.760167, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.823908, "energy": 57.136408, "activity_lines": [ 7.898, 8.305818, 9.129619, 9.478839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.44, "volume": 152195549, "typical_volume": 169657006.0, "trend": 9.793333, "fair_value": 7.114359, "relative_strength": -11.653689, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.695145, "energy": 50.66167, "activity_lines": [ 7.974667, 8.249091, 9.02, 9.387441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }