{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8ee60642-12b1-4581-855d-e9b9213f7e1e", "symbol": "LHHOTEL", "name": "LH Hotel Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.508, "architecture_energy": 83.561, "architecture_maturity": 29.934, "architecture_confidence": 75.299, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.03, "rotation_up": 76.86, "upward_expansion": 93.55, "deceleration": 45.43, "rotation_down": 14.66, "downward_expansion": 17.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.126667, 13.943636, 13.530896, 13.287067 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 14.3, "trend_reference": 13.009795, "distance_from_trend": 0.099172, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.792942, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.32494, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.077387, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.143619, "excess_performance": -0.048706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.099172, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048593, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.32494, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084898, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.000774, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044042, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.143619, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.665248, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4027900, "relative_activity": 1.495207, "balance": 1.665248, "dry_up": 0.967166, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020381, "annualized_volatility": 0.156784, "from_high_reference": -0.006944, "from_low_reference": 0.416414 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.009795, "fair_value_reference": 10.792942, "structural_low": 12.025114, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.015236, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.014145, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.228261, "worst_return": -0.065693, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.051153, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.065336, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.233334, "worst_return": -0.166556, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.10931, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.089691, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.305298, "worst_return": -0.091338, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 13.886667, 13.576636, 13.21363, 13.047521 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.9, "volume": 2326700, "typical_volume": 3114405.0, "trend": 12.893405, "fair_value": 10.7232, "relative_strength": -4.430188, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.233646, "energy": 88.183502, "activity_lines": [ 13.933333, 13.676455, 13.304426, 13.115875 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.2, "volume": 1663400, "typical_volume": 2638040.0, "trend": 12.953115, "fair_value": 10.758459, "relative_strength": -1.265695, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.556946, "energy": 90.513345, "activity_lines": [ 14.04, 13.812727, 13.417146, 13.200172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.3, "volume": 4027900, "typical_volume": 2693875.0, "trend": 13.009795, "fair_value": 10.792942, "relative_strength": 0.077387, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.507769, "energy": 83.56078, "activity_lines": [ 14.126667, 13.943636, 13.530896, 13.287067 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }