{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8ee9eee4-73fd-4332-938a-82c872274ad0", "symbol": "RECT", "name": "Rectitude Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -31.606, "architecture_energy": 12.798, "architecture_maturity": 15.738, "architecture_confidence": 60.393, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.26, "rotation_up": 23.82, "upward_expansion": 18.21, "deceleration": 34.89, "rotation_down": 31.98, "downward_expansion": 54.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.264147, 1.256222, 1.270153, 1.294951 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.24, "trend_reference": 1.3572, "distance_from_trend": -0.086354, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.276434, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.62154, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -48.440064, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.194805, "excess_performance": -0.382259, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.086354, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.137747, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.62154, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008353, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.484401, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135404, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.194805, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.66191, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 958031, "relative_activity": 0.142086, "balance": 5.66191, "dry_up": 0.04038, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.194349, "annualized_volatility": 0.656812, "from_high_reference": -0.751004, "from_low_reference": 0.294363 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.3572, "fair_value_reference": 3.276434, "structural_low": 0.958, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.255498, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.120567, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 3.9, "volume": 967378, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 3.25, "volume": 565081, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": 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"regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.687282, "energy": 15.069273, "activity_lines": [ 1.27388, 1.258149, 1.274372, 1.303415 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.24, "volume": 958031, "typical_volume": 6742592.75, "trend": 1.3572, "fair_value": 3.276434, "relative_strength": -48.440064, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.606391, "energy": 12.797722, "activity_lines": [ 1.264147, 1.256222, 1.270153, 1.294951 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }