{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8ef234db-2af5-4582-8be9-44491dcfcab4",
    "symbol": "WHRL4",
    "name": "Whirlpool S.A.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -69.1,
    "architecture_energy": 54.563,
    "architecture_maturity": 51.658,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.26,
        "rotation_up": 25.82,
        "upward_expansion": 8.39,
        "deceleration": 50.53,
        "rotation_down": 54.55,
        "downward_expansion": 81.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.974,
        3.993455,
        4.052124,
        4.143184
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 3.94,
    "trend_reference": 4.276961,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.078785,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.843421,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.025128,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.457437,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.140675,
    "excess_performance": -0.083627,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.078785,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.042219,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025128,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.119214,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.134574,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033066,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.140675,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.180132,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 40400,
      "relative_activity": 0.816162,
      "balance": 0.180132,
      "dry_up": 0.65303,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.027919,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.12346,
      "from_high_reference": -0.1946,
      "from_low_reference": 0.007673
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.276961,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.843421,
      "structural_low": 3.91,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.002304,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.55,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007859,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.111111,
        "worst_return": -0.153333,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.033508,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016293,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.200107,
        "worst_return": -0.178571,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.022645,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.042742,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.210497,
        "worst_return": -0.321428,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.062222,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.12156,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.183219,
        "worst_return": -0.306062,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013636,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008791,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
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        "return": -0.042756,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.030501,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.043126,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.015471,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.201439,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.024873,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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        "return": -0.001787,
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        "fair_value": 3.777453,
        "relative_strength": -19.746399,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 53.685799,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 3.785113,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 63325.0,
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        "fair_value": 3.792572,
        "relative_strength": -16.764042,
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        "energy": 29.398216,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 54400,
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        "trend": 4.50529,
        "fair_value": 3.799078,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 38.940582,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 67900.0,
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        "fair_value": 3.804412,
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        "energy": 59.256111,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 4.02,
        "volume": 72000,
        "typical_volume": 70560.0,
        "trend": 4.465489,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 68135.0,
        "trend": 4.44571,
        "fair_value": 3.812906,
        "relative_strength": -14.932638,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 80.992319,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 4.06,
        "volume": 5000,
        "typical_volume": 66885.0,
        "trend": 4.431517,
        "fair_value": 3.817194,
        "relative_strength": -13.738847,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 78.913434,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "energy": 77.771513,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 64625.0,
        "trend": 4.398861,
        "fair_value": 3.825706,
        "relative_strength": -13.924496,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.893098,
        "energy": 64.43521,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.182839,
          4.283031
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 1800,
        "typical_volume": 62615.0,
        "trend": 4.380398,
        "fair_value": 3.829839,
        "relative_strength": -15.052405,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.26678,
        "energy": 52.845603,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.257298
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 4.05,
        "volume": 23300,
        "typical_volume": 61850.0,
        "trend": 4.364899,
        "fair_value": 3.833007,
        "relative_strength": -15.403818,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.159957,
        "energy": 50.794112,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.032,
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          4.133441,
          4.235982
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.99,
        "volume": 28000,
        "typical_volume": 61090.0,
        "trend": 4.343085,
        "fair_value": 3.835792,
        "relative_strength": -14.320483,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.610221,
        "energy": 50.505084,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.017333,
          4.023091,
          4.110339,
          4.211795
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.96,
        "volume": 35900,
        "typical_volume": 60550.0,
        "trend": 4.320271,
        "fair_value": 3.837833,
        "relative_strength": -14.807278,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.951377,
        "energy": 56.422245,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.997333,
          4.009273,
          4.087638,
          4.18708
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.0,
        "volume": 25000,
        "typical_volume": 53270.0,
        "trend": 4.300111,
        "fair_value": 3.840774,
        "relative_strength": -15.377243,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.472234,
        "energy": 49.454882,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.994,
          4.006545,
          4.071628,
          4.166417
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.94,
        "volume": 40400,
        "typical_volume": 49500.0,
        "trend": 4.276961,
        "fair_value": 3.843421,
        "relative_strength": -13.457437,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.100245,
        "energy": 54.562832,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.974,
          3.993455,
          4.052124,
          4.143184
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}