{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8efcbabe-d035-409d-9116-df59511e6d40",
    "symbol": "4933",
    "name": "Ubright Optronics Corporation",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 88.585,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -25.37,
    "architecture_energy": 48.497,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.246,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.009,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.61,
        "rotation_up": 15.73,
        "upward_expansion": 24.76,
        "deceleration": 50.97,
        "rotation_down": 66.41,
        "downward_expansion": 54.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        54.98513,
        57.013773,
        60.713292,
        60.570991
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 55.0,
    "trend_reference": 59.658012,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.078079,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 57.215977,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.03873,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -33.201342,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.029643,
    "excess_performance": -0.411729,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.078079,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01608,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03873,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.215941,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.332013,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039268,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029643,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.935054,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 494119,
      "relative_activity": 0.177089,
      "balance": 0.935054,
      "dry_up": 0.20222,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.104822,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.431627,
      "from_high_reference": -0.287365,
      "from_low_reference": 0.084813
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 59.658012,
      "fair_value_reference": 57.215977,
      "structural_low": 50.700001,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.067717,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022206,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.067717,
        "worst_return": 0.067717,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.322835,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.30875,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.322835,
        "worst_return": 0.322835,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.240945,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.267979,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.240945,
        "worst_return": 0.240945,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.00168,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.258542,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.00168,
        "worst_return": -0.00168,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-11-24",
        "end": "2023-12-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02518,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.033044,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.163375,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.182645,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.043219,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.055118,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.065217,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.00664,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.09165,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.102848,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.218543,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.052098,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.166312,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-11",
        "close": 33.817753,
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        "typical_volume": 502500.0,
        "trend": 27.522242,
        "fair_value": 25.614133,
        "relative_strength": 18.255083,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 94.453415,
        "energy": 96.039532,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 696050.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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        "typical_volume": 734750.0,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 56.560908,
        "relative_strength": -33.496238,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 28.993212,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 460776,
        "typical_volume": 3098331.0,
        "trend": 59.77029,
        "fair_value": 56.741758,
        "relative_strength": -31.103575,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.915421,
        "energy": 29.945691,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.999146,
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          61.5359
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 54.200001,
        "volume": 701029,
        "typical_volume": 3053264.45,
        "trend": 59.710862,
        "fair_value": 56.905623,
        "relative_strength": -31.951623,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.550828,
        "energy": 51.822043,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.236157,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 55.0,
        "volume": 601036,
        "typical_volume": 2804248.05,
        "trend": 59.674933,
        "fair_value": 57.072375,
        "relative_strength": -31.742281,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.642099,
        "energy": 55.628783,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.276899,
          58.015655,
          61.36421,
          60.8726
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 55.0,
        "volume": 494119,
        "typical_volume": 2790230.95,
        "trend": 59.658012,
        "fair_value": 57.215977,
        "relative_strength": -33.201342,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -25.369593,
        "energy": 48.497411,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}