{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8f011a21-ee39-4f8e-8b60-bfef1fdf851a", "symbol": "BIPC", "name": "Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -21.593, "architecture_energy": 18.009, "architecture_maturity": 14.874, "architecture_confidence": 78.04, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.79, "rotation_up": 33.93, "upward_expansion": 32.09, "deceleration": 39.46, "rotation_down": 25.04, "downward_expansion": 42.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 57.156667, 56.741091, 56.240351, 56.798008 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 54.990002, "trend_reference": 58.249563, "distance_from_trend": -0.055959, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 51.287346, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.072194, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -16.700459, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.178626, "excess_performance": -0.299047, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.055959, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028758, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.072194, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038699, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.167005, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022571, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.178626, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.945403, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1172700, "relative_activity": 1.124806, "balance": 1.945403, "dry_up": 1.088406, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047154, "annualized_volatility": 0.35106, "from_high_reference": -0.199145, "from_low_reference": 0.189346 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 58.249563, "fair_value_reference": 51.287346, "structural_low": 46.235511, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.001822, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.006352, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.064565, "worst_return": -0.123156, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.008588, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.016073, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.246539, "worst_return": -0.253903, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.062592, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.047272, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.10887, "worst_return": -0.125753, 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"regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.069827, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.091219, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.049301, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.056181, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.043389, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-09", 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"gate": "down", "direction": -37.115949, "energy": 25.087368, "activity_lines": [ 55.670666, 55.955472, 55.751303, 57.085292 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 56.84, "volume": 823000, "typical_volume": 1142395.0, "trend": 58.559696, "fair_value": 51.167141, "relative_strength": -12.033459, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.744058, "energy": 18.132781, "activity_lines": [ 56.056, 56.151173, 55.76672, 56.962701 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 58.580002, "volume": 1299300, "typical_volume": 1137995.0, "trend": 58.439205, "fair_value": 51.197214, "relative_strength": -9.283482, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.821559, "energy": 7.822314, "activity_lines": [ 56.999334, 56.589134, 55.997594, 56.964012 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 59.259998, "volume": 1244000, "typical_volume": 1153415.0, "trend": 58.383857, "fair_value": 51.256955, "relative_strength": -7.66018, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 6.356821, "energy": 22.888277, "activity_lines": [ 57.915333, 57.069091, 56.311935, 57.016966 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 54.990002, "volume": 1172700, "typical_volume": 1042580.0, "trend": 58.249563, "fair_value": 51.287346, "relative_strength": -16.700459, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.593493, "energy": 18.009183, "activity_lines": [ 57.156667, 56.741091, 56.240351, 56.798008 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }