{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8f0731da-ad78-42f5-abcf-59b4a7c990ff", "symbol": "BBTC", "name": "The Bombay Burmah Trading Corporation Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.76, "architecture_energy": 42.945, "architecture_maturity": 7.136, "architecture_confidence": 83.564, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.94, "rotation_up": 11.94, "upward_expansion": 5.8, "deceleration": 45.13, "rotation_down": 59.9, "downward_expansion": 76.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 1492.799976, 1508.241797, 1513.579984, 1525.264076 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1504.099976, "trend_reference": 1565.473962, "distance_from_trend": -0.039205, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1784.786918, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.157266, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.072236, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.145915, "excess_performance": -0.102206, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.039205, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064454, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.157266, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053522, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.100722, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003193, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.145915, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.646344, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 223671, "relative_activity": 1.151379, "balance": 0.646344, "dry_up": 0.703543, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036178, "annualized_volatility": 0.225271, "from_high_reference": -0.28873, "from_low_reference": 0.14415 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1565.473962, "fair_value_reference": 1784.786918, "structural_low": 1314.599976, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.003375, "positive_rate": 0.541667, "directional_follow_through": 0.458333, "median_excess_return": -0.002418, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.1449, "worst_return": -0.188407, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.022834, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.012307, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.227386, "worst_return": -0.118517, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.087127, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.083859, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.070513, "worst_return": -0.124994, "sufficient": 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1514.896345, 1514.434272, 1535.687606 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1497.099976, "volume": 117093, "typical_volume": 192070.0, "trend": 1575.284216, "fair_value": 1781.355008, "relative_strength": -10.15871, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.77318, "energy": 42.39816, "activity_lines": [ 1493.226644, 1510.59998, 1513.601889, 1529.856608 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1504.099976, "volume": 223671, "typical_volume": 194263.5, "trend": 1565.473962, "fair_value": 1784.786918, "relative_strength": -10.072236, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.760056, "energy": 42.944963, "activity_lines": [ 1492.799976, 1508.241797, 1513.579984, 1525.264076 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }