{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8f0e1442-559b-4ce8-8655-08fa9d1a52b9", "symbol": "601222", "name": "Jiangsu Linyang Energy Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 57.38, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.631, "architecture_energy": 37.267, "architecture_maturity": 24.561, "architecture_confidence": 73.979, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.31, "rotation_up": 22.22, "upward_expansion": 9.34, "deceleration": 57.57, "rotation_down": 49.54, "downward_expansion": 73.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.604, 5.611091, 5.831524, 5.941441 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.6, "trend_reference": 6.016, "distance_from_trend": -0.069149, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.090059, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.080469, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.079753, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.027778, "excess_performance": 0.015426, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.069149, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000561, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.080469, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083371, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.050798, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015665, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.027778, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.085654, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 94033156, "relative_activity": 0.699968, "balance": 2.085654, "dry_up": 0.83512, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067857, "annualized_volatility": 0.305766, "from_high_reference": -0.206799, "from_low_reference": 0.062619 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.016, "fair_value_reference": 6.090059, "structural_low": 5.27, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.008945, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.009943, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.218268, "worst_return": -0.202273, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.01642, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.025025, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.15214, "worst_return": -0.231984, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.02847, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.050615, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.014778, "worst_return": -0.117231, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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68.133103, "activity_lines": [ 5.482667, 5.740364, 5.950571, 6.013204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.54, "volume": 138709189, "typical_volume": 148886140.35, "trend": 6.004667, "fair_value": 6.109253, "relative_strength": -3.379298, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.867149, "energy": 72.25857, "activity_lines": [ 5.480667, 5.668364, 5.897143, 5.98314 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.77, "volume": 114255364, "typical_volume": 139751423.5, "trend": 6.011667, "fair_value": 6.099302, "relative_strength": 0.317105, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.1416, "energy": 47.535832, "activity_lines": [ 5.582, 5.648727, 5.87019, 5.968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.6, "volume": 94033156, "typical_volume": 134339287.15, "trend": 6.016, "fair_value": 6.090059, "relative_strength": -5.079753, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.630755, "energy": 37.26659, "activity_lines": [ 5.604, 5.611091, 5.831524, 5.941441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }