{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8f0e9cb8-f451-47d9-931b-1e3703218d19",
    "symbol": "EDME",
    "name": "iShares MSCI USA CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETF USD Acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.131,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.075,
    "architecture_energy": 64.809,
    "architecture_maturity": 86.092,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.768,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.23,
        "rotation_up": 52.09,
        "upward_expansion": 82.39,
        "deceleration": 71.42,
        "rotation_down": 29.25,
        "downward_expansion": 11.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        11.326335
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 12.052,
    "trend_reference": 11.014867,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.094158,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.54166,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.263093,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.573063,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.158401,
    "excess_performance": -0.012491,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094158,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038237,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.263093,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039234,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035731,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002664,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.158401,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.340156,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 475836,
      "relative_activity": 0.758734,
      "balance": 2.340156,
      "dry_up": 0.876374,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018918,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.123357,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002153,
      "from_low_reference": 0.225793
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.014867,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.54166,
      "structural_low": 9.889,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.011347,
        "positive_rate": 0.607143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.607143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005386,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
        "best_return": 0.06668,
        "worst_return": -0.115875,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_excess_return": -0.006424,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.10636,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.099403,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.017504,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -3.480449,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 703447.35,
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        "fair_value": 9.457628,
        "relative_strength": -3.198847,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.742995,
        "energy": 69.338659,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 713343.35,
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        "fair_value": 9.484699,
        "relative_strength": -3.030849,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 64.438493,
        "energy": 64.555041,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.566,
        "volume": 314010,
        "typical_volume": 669147.95,
        "trend": 10.9718,
        "fair_value": 9.51141,
        "relative_strength": -4.826911,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.406828,
        "energy": 57.446073,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.052,
        "volume": 475836,
        "typical_volume": 627144.5,
        "trend": 11.014867,
        "fair_value": 9.54166,
        "relative_strength": -3.573063,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.075463,
        "energy": 64.808705,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}