{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8f116ae6-4c6f-494b-bf2a-08b1810dd015", "symbol": "ABX", "name": "Abacus Global Management, Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.437, "architecture_energy": 18.817, "architecture_maturity": 51.946, "architecture_confidence": 86.782, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.58, "rotation_up": 29.32, "upward_expansion": 61.54, "deceleration": 87.88, "rotation_down": 27.86, "downward_expansion": 16.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.120667, 10.269818, 9.863762, 9.592086 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 9.52, "trend_reference": 9.207667, "distance_from_trend": 0.033921, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.351471, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.139919, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.468462, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.283019, "excess_performance": 0.157394, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033921, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111176, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.139919, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04799, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.054685, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086001, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.283019, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.672041, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2729052, "relative_activity": 0.945177, "balance": 0.672041, "dry_up": 1.003815, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11528, "annualized_volatility": 0.486187, "from_high_reference": -0.234727, "from_low_reference": 0.963223 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.207667, "fair_value_reference": 8.351471, "structural_low": 7.32, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.001994, "positive_rate": 0.541667, "directional_follow_through": 0.541667, "median_excess_return": -0.007362, "regime_survival": 0.708333, "best_return": 0.166873, "worst_return": -0.340092, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.00754, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.004365, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.055229, "worst_return": -0.341369, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.015136, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.03305, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.086957, "worst_return": -0.216789, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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10.686667, 10.296182, 9.774286, 9.491806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.31, "volume": 2149610, "typical_volume": 3004429.65, "trend": 9.177667, "fair_value": 8.328368, "relative_strength": 18.851908, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.506472, "energy": 38.856904, "activity_lines": [ 10.548667, 10.366364, 9.857857, 9.57 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.52, "volume": 2729052, "typical_volume": 2887344.8, "trend": 9.207667, "fair_value": 8.351471, "relative_strength": 5.468462, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.436651, "energy": 18.81656, "activity_lines": [ 10.120667, 10.269818, 9.863762, 9.592086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }