{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8f1b0e98-ea10-4342-9174-8edc8b32343f", "symbol": "FEBZ", "name": "TRUESHARES STRUCTURED OUTCOME (FEBRUARY) ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 60.528, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.753, "architecture_energy": 59.439, "architecture_maturity": 55.687, "architecture_confidence": 70.816, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.06, "rotation_up": 55.42, "upward_expansion": 82.36, "deceleration": 64.14, "rotation_down": 27.41, "downward_expansion": 9.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.59086, 40.422496, 40.13434, 39.530157 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 41.3556, "trend_reference": 38.854567, "distance_from_trend": 0.064369, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.498786, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.23454, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.221369, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.088669, "excess_performance": -0.036956, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.064369, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024067, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.23454, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001817, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.032214, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000285, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.088669, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.960965, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 76962, "relative_activity": 3.354772, "balance": 0.960965, "dry_up": 0.857241, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015496, "annualized_volatility": 0.102985, "from_high_reference": -0.000106, "from_low_reference": 0.16282 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.854567, "fair_value_reference": 33.498786, "structural_low": 35.5845, 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38.512142, "fair_value": 33.159473, "relative_strength": -2.873962, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.02025, "energy": 59.708984, "activity_lines": [ 40.324453, 40.26372, 39.596551, 39.061624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 40.1939, "volume": 210, "typical_volume": 20141.55, "trend": 38.599483, "fair_value": 33.242364, "relative_strength": -2.442056, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.40415, "energy": 52.986129, "activity_lines": [ 40.304053, 40.261355, 39.727009, 39.170125 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.9334, "volume": 219, "typical_volume": 19780.4, "trend": 38.662313, "fair_value": 33.321879, "relative_strength": -2.415901, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.147169, "energy": 45.446421, "activity_lines": [ 40.190247, 40.20622, 39.820639, 39.256184 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.3036, "volume": 1273, "typical_volume": 19246.05, "trend": 38.750303, "fair_value": 33.406773, "relative_strength": -2.477212, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.78365, "energy": 46.661899, "activity_lines": [ 40.231253, 40.219362, 39.935976, 39.362073 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.3556, "volume": 76962, "typical_volume": 22941.05, "trend": 38.854567, "fair_value": 33.498786, "relative_strength": -3.221369, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.753253, "energy": 59.439141, "activity_lines": [ 40.59086, 40.422496, 40.13434, 39.530157 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }