{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8f1c3a7d-422f-455a-b5b8-3460f59db391", "symbol": "000862", "name": "Ning Xia Yin Xing Energy Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.143, "architecture_energy": 28.264, "architecture_maturity": 67.805, "architecture_confidence": 81.648, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.27, "rotation_up": 26.6, "upward_expansion": 16.28, "deceleration": 46.93, "rotation_down": 31.95, "downward_expansion": 63.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.418667, 5.292, 5.717905, 6.033247 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.54, "trend_reference": 6.3, "distance_from_trend": -0.120635, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.687821, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.025989, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.853876, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.115016, "excess_performance": -0.122416, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.120635, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026977, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.025989, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.212594, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.118539, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052246, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.115016, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.042988, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 153411866, "relative_activity": 0.738519, "balance": 1.042988, "dry_up": 1.12621, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.126215, "annualized_volatility": 0.5997, "from_high_reference": -0.413136, "from_low_reference": 0.231111 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.3, "fair_value_reference": 5.687821, "structural_low": 4.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.004926, "positive_rate": 0.478261, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.000221, "regime_survival": 0.869565, "best_return": 0.239829, "worst_return": -0.136905, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.022369, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.0717, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.138756, "worst_return": -0.174688, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.130233, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.043057, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.319257, "worst_return": -0.210667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 220208629.2, "trend": 6.31, "fair_value": 5.699038, "relative_strength": -7.433701, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.14009, "energy": 41.573696, "activity_lines": [ 5.286667, 5.294727, 5.781286, 6.082925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.54, "volume": 153411866, "typical_volume": 207728970.8, "trend": 6.3, "fair_value": 5.687821, "relative_strength": -11.853876, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.142576, "energy": 28.263634, "activity_lines": [ 5.418667, 5.292, 5.717905, 6.033247 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }