{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8f205d46-2f5d-4cdc-bd44-7f1c0d87f793", "symbol": "8929", "name": "Fu Burg Industrial Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.586, "architecture_energy": 57.639, "architecture_maturity": 52.881, "architecture_confidence": 87.741, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.19, "rotation_up": 14.55, "upward_expansion": 11.18, "deceleration": 41.05, "rotation_down": 66.09, "downward_expansion": 86.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.41, 13.721818, 14.027143, 14.45043 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 13.4, "trend_reference": 15.073333, "distance_from_trend": -0.111013, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.721795, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.320549, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.542426, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.182927, "excess_performance": -0.624299, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.111013, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057328, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.320549, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023384, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.415424, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030211, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.182927, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.088668, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 202878, "relative_activity": 1.137407, "balance": 1.088668, "dry_up": 0.626899, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074627, "annualized_volatility": 0.251903, "from_high_reference": -0.334988, "from_low_reference": 0.034749 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.073333, "fair_value_reference": 19.721795, "structural_low": 12.95, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.004957, "positive_rate": 0.40625, "directional_follow_through": 0.59375, "median_excess_return": -0.024846, "regime_survival": 0.84375, "best_return": 0.10355, "worst_return": -0.113333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.019512, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.105829, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.059172, "worst_return": -0.102894, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.01205, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.149615, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.032099, "worst_return": -0.090643, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": -40.195525, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.586418, "energy": 33.056556, "activity_lines": [ 14.123333, 14.149091, 14.417381, 14.839892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.2, "volume": 72631, "typical_volume": 174314.95, "trend": 15.316667, "fair_value": 19.816026, "relative_strength": -40.757344, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.052934, "energy": 42.952029, "activity_lines": [ 13.81, 13.974545, 14.265238, 14.695591 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.3, "volume": 90060, "typical_volume": 172134.6, "trend": 15.183333, "fair_value": 19.76891, "relative_strength": -40.847777, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.813149, "energy": 57.087953, "activity_lines": [ 13.553333, 13.836364, 14.135714, 14.565484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 13.4, "volume": 202878, "typical_volume": 178368.9, "trend": 15.073333, "fair_value": 19.721795, "relative_strength": -41.542426, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.585538, "energy": 57.638501, "activity_lines": [ 13.41, 13.721818, 14.027143, 14.45043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }