{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8f379b66-cf98-4a9c-a2d1-db2ac27befc0", "symbol": "DMXSE-SDB", "name": "District Metals Corporation", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.46, "architecture_energy": 37.876, "architecture_maturity": 7.817, "architecture_confidence": 90.272, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.87, "rotation_up": 12.73, "upward_expansion": 13.38, "deceleration": 47.79, "rotation_down": 55.38, "downward_expansion": 74.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.369333, 4.474909, 4.710143, 4.634159 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.5, "trend_reference": 4.725433, "distance_from_trend": -0.047706, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.123994, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.121779, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.334317, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.5, "excess_performance": 0.438506, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.047706, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.167373, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.121779, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.190062, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.343343, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177227, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.5, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.223359, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 208885, "relative_activity": 0.438397, "balance": 0.223359, "dry_up": 0.480633, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.16906, "annualized_volatility": 0.730129, "from_high_reference": -0.601558, "from_low_reference": 1.16972 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.725433, "fair_value_reference": 5.123994, "structural_low": 2.26, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.044084, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 3.4, "volume": 368681, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 3.5, "volume": 306307, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 3.12, "volume": 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"direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.395, "volume": 319241, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.31, "volume": 200014, "typical_volume": 540807.25, "trend": 4.863767, "fair_value": 5.131794, "relative_strength": -36.428701, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.387634, "energy": 45.329298, "activity_lines": [ 4.323, 4.498091, 4.73159, 4.657628 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.5, "volume": 208885, "typical_volume": 476474.15, "trend": 4.725433, "fair_value": 5.123994, "relative_strength": -34.334317, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.459984, "energy": 37.875636, "activity_lines": [ 4.369333, 4.474909, 4.710143, 4.634159 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }