{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8f3886d8-ffcc-4005-9424-67724f808b54", "symbol": "SBLK", "name": "Star Bulk Carriers Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.893, "architecture_energy": 65.419, "architecture_maturity": 18.093, "architecture_confidence": 85.569, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.55, "rotation_up": 69.03, "upward_expansion": 86.37, "deceleration": 47.01, "rotation_down": 11.93, "downward_expansion": 13.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.004667, 27.039563, 26.42399, 25.665501 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 28.9, "trend_reference": 24.571428, "distance_from_trend": 0.176163, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.02632, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.518949, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 16.532231, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.31564, "excess_performance": 0.128186, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.176163, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.12433, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.518949, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058769, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.165322, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033309, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.31564, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.639927, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7224298, "relative_activity": 1.229419, "balance": 1.639927, "dry_up": 1.081957, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072981, "annualized_volatility": 0.353286, "from_high_reference": -0.020339, "from_low_reference": 0.797375 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.571428, "fair_value_reference": 19.02632, "structural_low": 21.091573, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.032188, "positive_rate": 0.580645, "directional_follow_through": 0.580645, "median_excess_return": 0.004605, "regime_survival": 0.741935, "best_return": 0.223939, "worst_return": -0.280221, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.128021, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.018064, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.467819, "worst_return": -0.178775, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.202514, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.112127, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.458762, "worst_return": -0.319775, "sufficient": true }, { 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"close": 28.14, "volume": 6145887, "typical_volume": 6123709.65, "trend": 23.90697, "fair_value": 18.850614, "relative_strength": 21.136578, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.366416, "energy": 36.662616, "activity_lines": [ 26.27, 26.114818, 25.72302, 25.052469 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.75, "volume": 7117485, "typical_volume": 6027681.35, "trend": 24.241049, "fair_value": 18.938879, "relative_strength": 22.408445, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.42187, "energy": 50.405357, "activity_lines": [ 27.257333, 26.589258, 26.083755, 25.364923 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.9, "volume": 7224298, "typical_volume": 5876187.9, "trend": 24.571428, "fair_value": 19.02632, "relative_strength": 16.532231, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.893342, "energy": 65.419413, "activity_lines": [ 28.004667, 27.039563, 26.42399, 25.665501 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }