{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8f4b98af-740c-4156-9751-800d00b35782", "symbol": "EWLS", "name": "Edwards Lifesciences Corporation", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 72.855, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.679, "architecture_energy": 26.412, "architecture_maturity": 62.142, "architecture_confidence": 74.505, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.23, "rotation_up": 30.84, "upward_expansion": 60.9, "deceleration": 85.48, "rotation_down": 30.05, "downward_expansion": 19.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 76.282666, 77.118182, 75.456809, 74.011247 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 77.720001, "trend_reference": 72.306, "distance_from_trend": 0.074876, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 70.249551, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.106342, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.973405, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.176328, "excess_performance": 0.002081, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074876, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017807, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.106342, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126799, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.109734, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043454, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.176328, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 3.430657, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044539, "annualized_volatility": 0.261552, "from_high_reference": -0.068106, "from_low_reference": 0.257402 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.306, "fair_value_reference": 70.249551, "structural_low": 64.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.006534, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.008912, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.083271, "worst_return": -0.328109, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.069607, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.122029, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.142168, "worst_return": -0.306735, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.089989, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.110196, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.152941, "worst_return": -0.208093, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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}, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 79.699997, "volume": 211, "typical_volume": 16.7, "trend": 71.893, "fair_value": 70.248141, "relative_strength": -8.005446, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.429662, "energy": 87.013065, "activity_lines": [ 79.586666, 77.339636, 74.391095, 73.028796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 75.639999, "volume": 78, "typical_volume": 20.6, "trend": 71.99, "fair_value": 70.200064, "relative_strength": -10.678906, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.764821, "energy": 76.191436, "activity_lines": [ 78.698666, 77.391999, 74.661904, 73.270538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 75.18, "volume": 376, "typical_volume": 33.5, "trend": 72.056333, "fair_value": 70.1925, "relative_strength": -12.057247, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.113494, "energy": 46.146754, "activity_lines": [ 77.485333, 77.242181, 74.878285, 73.476344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 74.779999, "volume": 16, "typical_volume": 34.25, "trend": 72.152667, "fair_value": 70.209936, "relative_strength": -12.067469, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.250541, "energy": 24.123187, "activity_lines": [ 76.201333, 76.92909, 75.031714, 73.652064 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 77.720001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 34.25, "trend": 72.306, "fair_value": 70.249551, "relative_strength": -10.973405, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.67916, "energy": 26.411859, "activity_lines": [ 76.282666, 77.118182, 75.456809, 74.011247 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }