{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8f523afc-6753-469a-a65c-7919a5d9e00d", "symbol": "MIND", "name": "Mind Gym plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.343, "architecture_energy": 65.626, "architecture_maturity": 46.489, "architecture_confidence": 92.918, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.24, "rotation_up": 21.7, "upward_expansion": 13.06, "deceleration": 45.11, "rotation_down": 63.39, "downward_expansion": 88.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.085333, 0.088273, 0.095476, 0.102946 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.085, "trend_reference": 0.111667, "distance_from_trend": -0.238806, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.246788, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.655575, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.315255, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.346154, "excess_performance": -0.397389, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.238806, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09825, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.655575, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091096, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.373153, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169484, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.346154, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3100, "relative_activity": 0.160923, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.466923, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107692, "annualized_volatility": 0.287058, "from_high_reference": -0.527778, "from_low_reference": 0.0625 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.111667, "fair_value_reference": 0.246788, "structural_low": 0.08, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 44, "median_return": -0.025217, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.568182, "median_excess_return": -0.02386, "regime_survival": 0.840909, "best_return": 0.344086, "worst_return": -0.211864, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.088235, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": -0.084762, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.185714, "worst_return": -0.306452, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.291667, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.3047, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.157895, "worst_return": -0.342857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 0.09, "volume": 17953, "typical_volume": 19327.0, "trend": 0.116, "fair_value": 0.259353, "relative_strength": -35.616883, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.351958, "energy": 58.719716, "activity_lines": [ 0.093333, 0.095, 0.104667, 0.110548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.085, "volume": 5071, "typical_volume": 19164.8, "trend": 0.115, "fair_value": 0.257141, "relative_strength": -38.773359, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.69862, "energy": 61.05961, "activity_lines": [ 0.090333, 0.092545, 0.102048, 0.108548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.085, "volume": 18754, "typical_volume": 20077.5, "trend": 0.114, "fair_value": 0.253712, "relative_strength": -38.530485, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.856689, "energy": 60.538953, "activity_lines": [ 0.088, 0.090818, 0.099643, 0.106613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.085, "volume": 9054, "typical_volume": 20037.0, "trend": 0.112833, "fair_value": 0.25025, "relative_strength": -38.21785, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.605242, "energy": 72.683383, "activity_lines": [ 0.086333, 0.089455, 0.097452, 0.104742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.085, "volume": 3100, "typical_volume": 19263.9, "trend": 0.111667, "fair_value": 0.246788, "relative_strength": -37.315255, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.343367, "energy": 65.625929, "activity_lines": [ 0.085333, 0.088273, 0.095476, 0.102946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }