{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8f69a2c8-f86e-482b-9213-a17710b6d5a8", "symbol": "600858", "name": "Inzone Group Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.006, "architecture_energy": 42.18, "architecture_maturity": 90.13, "architecture_confidence": 63.94, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.82, "rotation_up": 26.98, "upward_expansion": 18.46, "deceleration": 66.99, "rotation_down": 42.19, "downward_expansion": 68.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.684, 4.660545, 4.897808, 5.160899 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.77, "trend_reference": 5.58625, "distance_from_trend": -0.146118, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.238643, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.089459, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.967736, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.280084, "excess_performance": -0.23688, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.146118, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077336, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.089459, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.172324, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.159677, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055936, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.280084, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.344087, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 38057400, "relative_activity": 1.231295, "balance": 0.344087, "dry_up": 1.249403, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0719, "annualized_volatility": 0.261062, "from_high_reference": -0.416877, "from_low_reference": 0.089041 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.58625, "fair_value_reference": 5.238643, "structural_low": 4.38, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.007317, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": 0.014934, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.317623, "worst_return": -0.181482, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.009346, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.019666, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.578255, "worst_return": -0.235915, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.140187, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.180981, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.438312, "worst_return": -0.209507, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-17", "close": 4.71, "volume": 41193744, "typical_volume": 31873505.55, "trend": 5.803418, "fair_value": 5.267652, "relative_strength": -14.435665, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.921944, "energy": 65.68669, "activity_lines": [ 4.616667, 4.743457, 5.06688, 5.366178 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.44, "volume": 37157977, "typical_volume": 30906232.65, "trend": 5.723585, "fair_value": 5.257811, "relative_strength": -19.952205, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.65021, "energy": 65.224572, "activity_lines": [ 4.564, 4.660545, 4.982311, 5.278216 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.77, "volume": 38059201, "typical_volume": 30904457.05, "trend": 5.634824, "fair_value": 5.249014, "relative_strength": -14.028166, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.140232, "energy": 53.360636, "activity_lines": [ 4.636, 4.655818, 4.937111, 5.216694 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.77, "volume": 38057400, "typical_volume": 30908424.65, "trend": 5.58625, "fair_value": 5.238643, "relative_strength": -15.967736, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.006239, "energy": 42.180354, "activity_lines": [ 4.684, 4.660545, 4.897808, 5.160899 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }