{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8f8fa868-330f-46c2-ae9d-efea7523bd08",
    "symbol": "PRD",
    "name": "Predator Oil & Gas Holdings Plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 89.072,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -36.251,
    "architecture_energy": 17.435,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.234,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.738,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.47,
        "rotation_up": 26.2,
        "upward_expansion": 15.35,
        "deceleration": 38.72,
        "rotation_down": 33.61,
        "downward_expansion": 63.02
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.03103,
        0.030634,
        0.032098,
        0.032469
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.031,
    "trend_reference": 0.033288,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.068743,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.06342,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.511197,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.397898,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.081481,
    "excess_performance": -0.132717,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068743,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006862,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.511197,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064022,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.123979,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.195429,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.081481,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.596363,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11251470,
      "relative_activity": 0.444463,
      "balance": 0.596363,
      "dry_up": 0.672204,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.128387,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.59,
      "from_high_reference": -0.438914,
      "from_low_reference": 0.192308
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.033288,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.06342,
      "structural_low": 0.02666,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.04996,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.392857,
        "median_excess_return": 0.039472,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.342857,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.16397,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 1.168367,
        "worst_return": -0.468468,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.2,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.142857,
        "median_excess_return": 0.1247,
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        "best_return": 1.146465,
        "worst_return": -0.578571,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.429565,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.275,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 25076030.95,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 24946059,
        "typical_volume": 25746372.85,
        "trend": 0.033672,
        "fair_value": 0.064015,
        "relative_strength": -13.890125,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.554188,
        "energy": 22.837321,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.030827,
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          0.032287,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.031,
        "volume": 11251470,
        "typical_volume": 25314758.25,
        "trend": 0.033288,
        "fair_value": 0.06342,
        "relative_strength": -12.397898,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.25056,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}