{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8f929368-1c49-49f1-827d-60c928f161d2", "symbol": "ONEZ", "name": "TRUESHARES SEASONALITY LADDERED BUFFERED ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 68.105, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.498, "architecture_energy": 50.541, "architecture_maturity": 20.301, "architecture_confidence": 66.804, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.3, "rotation_up": 51.18, "upward_expansion": 77.71, "deceleration": 63.91, "rotation_down": 25.25, "downward_expansion": 6.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.786033, 27.667811, 27.489916, 27.106318 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 28.3041, "trend_reference": 26.6763, "distance_from_trend": 0.06102, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.270466, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.120047, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.755758, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.086113, "excess_performance": -0.039512, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.06102, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022042, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.120047, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016854, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.037558, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002108, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.086113, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.686905, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 173583, "relative_activity": 0.359339, "balance": 1.686905, "dry_up": 0.341989, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019532, "annualized_volatility": 0.102521, "from_high_reference": -0.00468, "from_low_reference": 0.155741 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.6763, "fair_value_reference": 25.270466, "structural_low": 24.49, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 27.55, "volume": 147742, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 27.78, "volume": 164885, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.56, "volume": 125996, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.43, "volume": 143866, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.52, "volume": 217363, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.3041, "volume": 173583, "typical_volume": 483062.1, "trend": 26.6763, "fair_value": 25.270466, "relative_strength": -3.755758, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.498452, "energy": 50.541061, "activity_lines": [ 27.786033, 27.667811, 27.489916, 27.106318 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }