{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8fb5da15-fc70-4378-9436-f379128d002b", "symbol": "OLB", "name": "OLB Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.633, "architecture_energy": 80.303, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.576, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.35, "rotation_up": 16.22, "upward_expansion": 19.39, "deceleration": 37.72, "rotation_down": 73.05, "downward_expansion": 97.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.31148, 0.336465, 0.385837, 0.426443 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.3059, "trend_reference": 0.483147, "distance_from_trend": -0.366859, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.782656, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.890069, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -64.635356, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.370576, "excess_performance": -0.55803, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.366859, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.268706, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.890069, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030486, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.646354, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011234, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.370576, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.895643, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2056724, "relative_activity": 1.029984, "balance": 0.895643, "dry_up": 0.64253, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.192722, "annualized_volatility": 1.248309, "from_high_reference": -0.830056, "from_low_reference": 0.113984 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.483147, "fair_value_reference": 2.782656, "structural_low": 0.2746, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 47, "median_return": -0.065657, "positive_rate": 0.340426, "directional_follow_through": 0.659574, "median_excess_return": -0.054467, "regime_survival": 0.87234, "best_return": 0.596292, "worst_return": -0.417476, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.151284, "positive_rate": 0.235294, "directional_follow_through": 0.764706, "median_excess_return": -0.250578, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.49763, "worst_return": -0.562234, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.405318, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.455633, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.111367, "worst_return": -0.717763, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"2026-07-24", "close": 0.3143, "volume": 598463, "typical_volume": 2071979.3, "trend": 0.504457, "fair_value": 2.87594, "relative_strength": -64.351472, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.988967, "energy": 79.689711, "activity_lines": [ 0.338867, 0.3695, 0.412859, 0.452208 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.2917, "volume": 510262, "typical_volume": 2000302.55, "trend": 0.492493, "fair_value": 2.825567, "relative_strength": -65.833397, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.977618, "energy": 84.513939, "activity_lines": [ 0.319573, 0.350089, 0.39789, 0.438481 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.3059, "volume": 2056724, "typical_volume": 1996850.35, "trend": 0.483147, "fair_value": 2.782656, "relative_strength": -64.635356, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.633411, "energy": 80.303315, "activity_lines": [ 0.31148, 0.336465, 0.385837, 0.426443 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }