{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8fc827fc-b6aa-45d1-b051-6db9116e437b", "symbol": "42E", "name": "Choo Chiang Holdings Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 52.758, "architecture_energy": 38.453, "architecture_maturity": 35.755, "architecture_confidence": 72.685, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.02, "rotation_up": 42.12, "upward_expansion": 78.26, "deceleration": 54.15, "rotation_down": 23.89, "downward_expansion": 7.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.458667, 0.457182, 0.454671, 0.449022 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.46, "trend_reference": 0.441797, "distance_from_trend": 0.041203, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.365713, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.257818, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.156733, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.091584, "excess_performance": -0.063251, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.041203, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018393, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.257818, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08486, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.111567, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.122497, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.091584, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.730116, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26000, "relative_activity": 0.125935, "balance": 0.730116, "dry_up": 0.266039, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030936, "annualized_volatility": 0.158108, "from_high_reference": -0.208602, "from_low_reference": 0.133267 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.441797, "fair_value_reference": 0.365713, "structural_low": 0.416562, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": 0.018316, "positive_rate": 0.55, "directional_follow_through": 0.55, "median_excess_return": 0.000316, "regime_survival": 0.85, "best_return": 0.138743, "worst_return": -0.131578, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.046933, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.013326, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.222222, "worst_return": -0.073994, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.083395, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.100765, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.416302, "worst_return": -0.074105, "sufficient": 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231995.0, "trend": 0.439708, "fair_value": 0.363414, "relative_strength": -11.059551, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.557378, "energy": 23.839671, "activity_lines": [ 0.456, 0.455545, 0.452156, 0.446476 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.46, "volume": 61200, "typical_volume": 222705.0, "trend": 0.440833, "fair_value": 0.364563, "relative_strength": -10.379907, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.486637, "energy": 26.379041, "activity_lines": [ 0.457667, 0.456273, 0.453494, 0.447785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.46, "volume": 26000, "typical_volume": 206455.0, "trend": 0.441797, "fair_value": 0.365713, "relative_strength": -11.156733, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.758376, "energy": 38.45328, "activity_lines": [ 0.458667, 0.457182, 0.454671, 0.449022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }