{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8fde5292-4d73-47b7-9fe3-8c3824300c46", "symbol": "CELZ", "name": "Creative Medical Technology Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.954, "architecture_energy": 47.561, "architecture_maturity": 28.192, "architecture_confidence": 79.386, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.44, "rotation_up": 15.0, "upward_expansion": 6.65, "deceleration": 47.47, "rotation_down": 64.8, "downward_expansion": 82.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.990447, 1.131331, 1.539014, 1.690516 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.42, "trend_reference": 1.837957, "distance_from_trend": -0.227403, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.24166, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.561953, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.467335, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.264249, "excess_performance": -0.451702, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.227403, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.165746, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.561953, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213587, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.474673, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.219198, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.264249, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 76.405436, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 380778332, "relative_activity": 12.982549, "balance": 76.405436, "dry_up": 3.271265, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.475011, "annualized_volatility": 1.514741, "from_high_reference": -0.7728, "from_low_reference": 1.290323 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.837957, "fair_value_reference": 3.24166, "structural_low": 0.62, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 43, "median_return": -0.002817, "positive_rate": 0.44186, "directional_follow_through": 0.511628, "median_excess_return": -0.031761, "regime_survival": 0.837209, "best_return": 1.235669, "worst_return": -0.57265, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.104762, "positive_rate": 0.266667, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": -0.127448, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.435, "worst_return": -0.710345, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.215507, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.254009, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.585, "worst_return": -0.846154, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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[ 1.086893, 1.478525, 1.799176, 1.873273 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.8102, "volume": 808615, "typical_volume": 10254340.05, "trend": 1.909157, "fair_value": 3.295993, "relative_strength": -69.592334, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.462002, "energy": 76.559901, "activity_lines": [ 0.92822, 1.306905, 1.692411, 1.799599 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.664, "volume": 931922, "typical_volume": 10296862.65, "trend": 1.865623, "fair_value": 3.265698, "relative_strength": -74.686074, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.898762, "energy": 79.191695, "activity_lines": [ 0.815467, 1.1347, 1.576818, 1.719266 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.42, "volume": 380778332, "typical_volume": 29330012.65, "trend": 1.837957, "fair_value": 3.24166, "relative_strength": -47.467335, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.954173, "energy": 47.561398, "activity_lines": [ 0.990447, 1.131331, 1.539014, 1.690516 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }