{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8fe07366-0e75-409c-bd62-5b1465d5c145",
    "symbol": "PHI",
    "name": "PLDT Inc ADR",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 5.435,
    "architecture_energy": 25.046,
    "architecture_maturity": 79.983,
    "architecture_confidence": 40.311,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.19,
        "rotation_up": 51.46,
        "upward_expansion": 38.57,
        "deceleration": 41.56,
        "rotation_down": 14.05,
        "downward_expansion": 42.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        19.728,
        19.122364,
        19.059952,
        19.535653
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 20.03,
    "trend_reference": 20.279173,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.012287,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 20.439753,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.020047,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.375288,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.133554,
    "excess_performance": -0.259179,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012287,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032725,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020047,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02491,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.113753,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001875,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.133554,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.603613,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 505879,
      "relative_activity": 0.678344,
      "balance": 0.603613,
      "dry_up": 0.902662,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04873,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.232543,
      "from_high_reference": -0.15229,
      "from_low_reference": 0.17478
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 20.279173,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.439753,
      "structural_low": 17.05,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.024464,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017291,
        "regime_survival": 0.708333,
        "best_return": 0.181818,
        "worst_return": -0.104538,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.03649,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011063,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.30293,
        "worst_return": -0.130486,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.052655,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019293,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.216406,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.015865,
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        "worst_return": -0.139746,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-10",
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        "return": 0.040201,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.083409,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 831517.3,
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        "fair_value": 20.41924,
        "relative_strength": -10.681174,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.841122,
        "energy": 27.655086,
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          18.672,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 848753.35,
        "trend": 20.362978,
        "fair_value": 20.42254,
        "relative_strength": -9.821648,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -27.335426,
        "energy": 24.335513,
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          19.121333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.69,
        "volume": 622590,
        "typical_volume": 861512.6,
        "trend": 20.316855,
        "fair_value": 20.430342,
        "relative_strength": -10.319094,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.024766,
        "energy": 25.050948,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.422,
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          19.001883,
          19.55416
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.03,
        "volume": 505879,
        "typical_volume": 745755.45,
        "trend": 20.279173,
        "fair_value": 20.439753,
        "relative_strength": -11.375288,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 5.435347,
        "energy": 25.045536,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}