{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8fe836f8-8f60-4ed2-96dc-00a5cc79a780", "symbol": "UTZ", "name": "Utz Brands Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.977, "architecture_energy": 96.049, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.268, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.93, "rotation_up": 83.95, "upward_expansion": 95.33, "deceleration": 44.67, "rotation_down": 10.67, "downward_expansion": 24.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.772, 10.776958, 9.269401, 8.867423 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.11, "trend_reference": 8.755908, "distance_from_trend": 0.611483, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.195394, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.069313, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 27.308039, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.295787, "excess_performance": 0.170162, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.611483, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018014, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.069313, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.528406, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.27308, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.668964, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.295787, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.356076, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12384392, "relative_activity": 0.86716, "balance": 2.356076, "dry_up": 2.469844, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077694, "annualized_volatility": 1.044688, "from_high_reference": -0.005638, "from_low_reference": 1.100261 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.755908, "fair_value_reference": 13.195394, "structural_low": 6.718212, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.012485, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.003729, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.099943, "worst_return": -0.079933, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.09534, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.091745, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.135468, "worst_return": -0.224245, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.116975, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.153844, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.032735, "worst_return": -0.218818, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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7.859415 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.21, "volume": 11609067, "typical_volume": 9199176.7, "trend": 8.359442, "fair_value": 13.221131, "relative_strength": -33.016568, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.035291, "energy": 20.433984, "activity_lines": [ 7.63905, 7.493555, 7.470868, 7.778859 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.1, "volume": 97398382, "typical_volume": 13661436.3, "trend": 8.483661, "fair_value": 13.209629, "relative_strength": 32.331259, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 51.958203, "energy": 66.705654, "activity_lines": [ 9.805333, 8.711472, 8.09772, 8.149218 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.12, "volume": 19700964, "typical_volume": 14107881.45, "trend": 8.614166, "fair_value": 13.203486, "relative_strength": 31.583692, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 65.60563, "energy": 87.254714, "activity_lines": [ 11.504, 9.803495, 8.699805, 8.512853 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.11, "volume": 12384392, "typical_volume": 14281548.0, "trend": 8.755908, "fair_value": 13.195394, "relative_strength": 27.308039, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.977013, "energy": 96.048863, "activity_lines": [ 12.772, 10.776958, 9.269401, 8.867423 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }