{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8fe94b4b-06ea-4527-b46f-939f4f5cd23e", "symbol": "FMC1", "name": "FMC CORP", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.333, "architecture_energy": 88.567, "architecture_maturity": 75.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.67, "rotation_up": 30.0, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 56.83, "downward_expansion": 95.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 190.5, 199.064737, 248.003796, 339.319907 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 190.5, "trend_reference": 455.685701, "distance_from_trend": -0.581949, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 760.461282, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.749494, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -66.642468, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.723492, "excess_performance": -0.668826, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.581949, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.25969, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.749494, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05862, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.666425, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001024, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.723492, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.302857, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.302857, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041362, "annualized_volatility": 1.387247, "from_high_reference": -0.7632, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 455.685701, "fair_value_reference": 760.461282, "structural_low": 190.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.080769, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.091522, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.005467, "worst_return": -0.198279, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.267062, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.253488, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.267062, "worst_return": -0.267062, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.204004, "energy": 68.791605, "activity_lines": [ 193.640928, 208.284715, 283.420424, 376.753224 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 190.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 50.6, "trend": 472.300702, "fair_value": 766.160895, "relative_strength": -67.449302, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.666666, "energy": 89.033333, "activity_lines": [ 190.5, 203.370863, 264.525324, 357.500598 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 190.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 50.6, "trend": 455.685701, "fair_value": 760.461282, "relative_strength": -66.642468, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.333331, "energy": 88.56666, "activity_lines": [ 190.5, 199.064737, 248.003796, 339.319907 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }