{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8fec7646-b1a5-4c9d-86f5-cc0974126aa5", "symbol": "RECY-B", "name": "Recyctec Holding AB ser. B", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 17.141, "architecture_energy": 25.399, "architecture_maturity": 37.417, "architecture_confidence": 58.857, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.59, "rotation_up": 55.39, "upward_expansion": 47.74, "deceleration": 20.54, "rotation_down": 18.35, "downward_expansion": 18.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.045073, 0.043093, 0.041677, 0.042107 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.0462, "trend_reference": 0.04228, "distance_from_trend": 0.092715, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.233823, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.802415, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.326892, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.1, "excess_performance": 0.038506, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.092715, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108741, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.802415, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061439, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.073269, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.385483, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.1, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.453447, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5655115, "relative_activity": 0.935508, "balance": 1.453447, "dry_up": 0.716786, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.219281, "annualized_volatility": 1.092218, "from_high_reference": -0.643243, "from_low_reference": 0.925 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.04228, "fair_value_reference": 0.233823, "structural_low": 0.024, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.08, "positive_rate": 0.315789, "directional_follow_through": 0.315789, "median_excess_return": -0.099657, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 1.131818, "worst_return": -0.451389, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.232508, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.215364, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.180451, "worst_return": -0.462687, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.271591, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.198902, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.155388, "worst_return": -0.750542, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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0.040816, 0.041023 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.0404, "volume": 4349144, "typical_volume": 28684187.55, "trend": 0.040087, "fair_value": 0.250145, "relative_strength": -6.450183, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -2.312358, "energy": 3.385282, "activity_lines": [ 0.040013, 0.039682, 0.040639, 0.041065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.043, "volume": 4911967, "typical_volume": 28620027.15, "trend": 0.040653, "fair_value": 0.244985, "relative_strength": 1.974129, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 7.756196, "energy": 6.351302, "activity_lines": [ 0.041087, 0.040329, 0.040692, 0.041253 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0437, "volume": 1791961, "typical_volume": 24330284.85, "trend": 0.041157, "fair_value": 0.240585, "relative_strength": 3.189512, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.620307, "energy": 12.942126, "activity_lines": [ 0.042327, 0.041024, 0.040793, 0.041449 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0469, "volume": 4972750, "typical_volume": 9326251.7, "trend": 0.041747, "fair_value": 0.23704, "relative_strength": 10.041379, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.318642, "energy": 24.989018, "activity_lines": [ 0.04408, 0.042213, 0.041272, 0.04182 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0462, "volume": 5655115, "typical_volume": 6044965.4, "trend": 0.04228, "fair_value": 0.233823, "relative_strength": 7.326892, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.141109, "energy": 25.398822, "activity_lines": [ 0.045073, 0.043093, 0.041677, 0.042107 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }