{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8ffad519-161d-4ee6-a2ec-6e689b73dcb2", "symbol": "CVEO", "name": "Civeo Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 73.257, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 12.279, "architecture_energy": 10.424, "architecture_maturity": 33.206, "architecture_confidence": 81.411, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.89, "rotation_up": 30.63, "upward_expansion": 53.75, "deceleration": 80.34, "rotation_down": 28.44, "downward_expansion": 25.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.351333, 32.589818, 32.654, 31.744366 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 30.76, "trend_reference": 30.318333, "distance_from_trend": 0.014568, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.217428, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.27016, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.093462, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.116515, "excess_performance": -0.009109, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014568, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.127621, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.27016, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08646, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.020935, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.114881, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.116515, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.459652, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 767001, "relative_activity": 1.342323, "balance": 1.459652, "dry_up": 1.411599, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10198, "annualized_volatility": 0.355688, "from_high_reference": -0.15726, "from_low_reference": 0.557468 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.318333, "fair_value_reference": 24.217428, "structural_low": 24.58, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.008784, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": -0.048515, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.180855, "worst_return": -0.074454, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.102552, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.003451, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.135074, "worst_return": -0.12024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.106942, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.050685, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.222509, "worst_return": -0.00402, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"2026-07-10", "close": 31.68, "volume": 1220255, "typical_volume": 482121.7, "trend": 29.063, "fair_value": 23.822126, "relative_strength": 8.92654, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.466823, "energy": 20.682395, "activity_lines": [ 32.104667, 32.896364, 32.043857, 30.884172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.87, "volume": 993365, "typical_volume": 524617.55, "trend": 29.459667, "fair_value": 23.930949, "relative_strength": 21.29863, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.336402, "energy": 23.241376, "activity_lines": [ 32.82, 33.215455, 32.422, 31.258817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.67, "volume": 687549, "typical_volume": 530304.85, "trend": 29.839333, "fair_value": 24.039622, "relative_strength": 20.790725, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.327126, "energy": 27.141895, "activity_lines": [ 33.446, 33.430727, 32.746905, 31.594968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.51, "volume": 778426, "typical_volume": 544955.1, "trend": 30.115, "fair_value": 24.129231, "relative_strength": 8.402577, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.448122, "energy": 20.466713, "activity_lines": [ 32.946667, 33.059455, 32.744095, 31.702753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.76, "volume": 767001, "typical_volume": 571398.2, "trend": 30.318333, "fair_value": 24.217428, "relative_strength": 2.093462, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.278653, "energy": 10.423515, "activity_lines": [ 32.351333, 32.589818, 32.654, 31.744366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }