{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9007be9c-8e43-4e84-be80-d880fcb62b43", "symbol": "8YY", "name": "Embracing Future Holdings Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.295, "architecture_energy": 60.345, "architecture_maturity": 40.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.4, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.65, "rotation_up": 17.5, "upward_expansion": 11.59, "deceleration": 43.6, "rotation_down": 62.54, "downward_expansion": 84.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.038267, 0.040055, 0.043562, 0.04694 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.039, "trend_reference": 0.0534, "distance_from_trend": -0.269663, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.024885, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.567233, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.955607, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.434783, "excess_performance": -0.589618, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.269663, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030888, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.567233, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.559435, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.229556, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.416097, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.434783, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.555251, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 296600, "relative_activity": 0.034909, "balance": 0.555251, "dry_up": 0.157324, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.151874, "annualized_volatility": 0.874491, "from_high_reference": -0.576087, "from_low_reference": 0.857143 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0534, "fair_value_reference": 0.024885, "structural_low": 0.033, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 43, "median_return": -0.067796, "positive_rate": 0.255814, "directional_follow_through": 0.627907, "median_excess_return": -0.079679, "regime_survival": 0.930233, "best_return": 1.2, "worst_return": -0.443043, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.233032, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.180254, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 1.888889, "worst_return": -0.60601, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.307692, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.347054, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 1.888889, "worst_return": -0.705753, "sufficient": true }, { 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-02-09", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.466667, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.269231, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.15, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Extended", 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"close": 0.04, "volume": 715700, "typical_volume": 14743915.0, "trend": 0.0554, "fair_value": 0.024481, "relative_strength": -17.739511, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.934904, "energy": 69.505449, "activity_lines": [ 0.041467, 0.043564, 0.046567, 0.050316 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.039, "volume": 1310800, "typical_volume": 11464235.0, "trend": 0.0555, "fair_value": 0.024628, "relative_strength": -21.159829, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.662553, "energy": 65.090927, "activity_lines": [ 0.0406, 0.042509, 0.045652, 0.049258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.035, "volume": 3023600, "typical_volume": 9369820.0, "trend": 0.054433, "fair_value": 0.024744, "relative_strength": -29.854664, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.29005, "energy": 72.993747, "activity_lines": [ 0.0386, 0.0408, 0.044376, 0.047935 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.039, "volume": 296600, "typical_volume": 8496305.0, "trend": 0.0534, "fair_value": 0.024885, "relative_strength": -22.955607, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.29467, "energy": 60.345371, "activity_lines": [ 0.038267, 0.040055, 0.043562, 0.04694 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }