{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9012a3c3-1643-407f-bf65-5b89dd830f84", "symbol": "FUBO", "name": "Fubotv\u00a0Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.694, "architecture_energy": 45.488, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.595, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.67, "rotation_up": 26.79, "upward_expansion": 6.17, "deceleration": 55.53, "rotation_down": 47.07, "downward_expansion": 77.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.020667, 9.263818, 9.746524, 10.697656 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.26, "trend_reference": 13.266, "distance_from_trend": -0.301975, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.355, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.661488, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -67.977693, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.511603, "excess_performance": -0.637228, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.301975, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.39742, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.661488, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018353, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.679777, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048102, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.511603, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.827595, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11312323, "relative_activity": 1.181279, "balance": 1.827595, "dry_up": 0.832418, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.160134, "annualized_volatility": 0.883205, "from_high_reference": -0.836511, "from_low_reference": 0.16478 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.266, "fair_value_reference": 27.355, "structural_low": 7.95, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.105991, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.097448, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 0.699219, "worst_return": -0.517241, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.320059, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.379229, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.719008, "worst_return": -0.629422, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.179054, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.221902, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.195402, "worst_return": -0.833801, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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27.672756, "relative_strength": -71.59965, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.854188, "energy": 49.831415, "activity_lines": [ 9.225333, 9.437273, 10.026286, 11.381118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.85, "volume": 6082353, "typical_volume": 11659749.35, "trend": 13.981333, "fair_value": 27.48641, "relative_strength": -69.239896, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.356763, "energy": 48.885076, "activity_lines": [ 9.019333, 9.305091, 9.853952, 11.002258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.26, "volume": 11312323, "typical_volume": 9576335.55, "trend": 13.266, "fair_value": 27.355, "relative_strength": -67.977693, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.694319, "energy": 45.487701, "activity_lines": [ 9.020667, 9.263818, 9.746524, 10.697656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }