{ "ticker": { "uuid": "90153877-320c-41cf-a291-32e2cf99180f", "symbol": "BKRY", "name": "Bikurey Hasade Group Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.899, "architecture_energy": 67.51, "architecture_maturity": 94.025, "architecture_confidence": 89.244, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 29.99, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.71, "rotation_down": 56.0, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.824333, 3.8756, 95.579788, 179.495195 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.83, "trend_reference": 276.284259, "distance_from_trend": -0.986137, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 305.283378, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.987454, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -99.011979, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.990939, "excess_performance": -1.019839, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.986137, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.354106, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.987454, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.296559, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.99012, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.739434, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.990939, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.581191, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43420, "relative_activity": 0.367009, "balance": 2.581191, "dry_up": 0.388791, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 9.01834, "annualized_volatility": 6.345472, "from_high_reference": -0.992459, "from_low_reference": 0.02681 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 276.284259, "fair_value_reference": 305.283378, "structural_low": 3.73, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.019896, "positive_rate": 0.388889, "directional_follow_through": 0.611111, "median_excess_return": -0.015752, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.262404, "worst_return": -0.219444, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.051206, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.043591, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.378941, "worst_return": -0.301342, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.026095, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.033539, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.551458, "worst_return": -0.446443, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"energy": 87.403384, "activity_lines": [ 3.945867, 49.650354, 190.305028, 259.639823 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.819, "volume": 53877, "typical_volume": 122601.7, "trend": 321.725324, "fair_value": 309.177662, "relative_strength": -99.077998, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.625117, "energy": 68.83952, "activity_lines": [ 3.893867, 26.8835, 163.577639, 238.138239 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.81, "volume": 33177, "typical_volume": 115963.0, "trend": 306.896757, "fair_value": 307.966195, "relative_strength": -99.082885, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.50322, "energy": 68.569739, "activity_lines": [ 3.8608, 11.564976, 138.854392, 217.627573 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.827, "volume": 53514, "typical_volume": 117077.95, "trend": 291.812109, "fair_value": 306.685001, "relative_strength": -99.032669, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.364304, "energy": 68.279632, "activity_lines": [ 3.841, 3.903294, 116.186374, 198.074686 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.83, "volume": 43420, "typical_volume": 118307.8, "trend": 276.284259, "fair_value": 305.283378, "relative_strength": -99.011979, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.898502, "energy": 67.510497, "activity_lines": [ 3.824333, 3.8756, 95.579788, 179.495195 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }