{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9015735d-5e32-4c36-9ff7-d2b7a489d923", "symbol": "VSEE", "name": "VSee Health, Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -90.144, "architecture_energy": 74.51, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.813, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.77, "rotation_up": 18.0, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 49.56, "rotation_down": 78.0, "downward_expansion": 90.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.066787, 0.086384, 0.122203, 0.159134 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.029, "trend_reference": 0.217383, "distance_from_trend": -0.866595, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.40714, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.99342, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -93.76693, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.917637, "excess_performance": -1.105091, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.866595, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.415558, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.99342, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026978, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.937669, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.158062, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.917637, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.127092, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 156977092, "relative_activity": 5.259454, "balance": 0.127092, "dry_up": 3.843337, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 1.219759, "annualized_volatility": 1.47992, "from_high_reference": -0.988492, "from_low_reference": 4.576923 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.217383, "fair_value_reference": 4.40714, "structural_low": 0.0052, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.116667, "positive_rate": 0.36, "directional_follow_through": 0.64, "median_excess_return": -0.107992, "regime_survival": 0.88, "best_return": 0.24031, "worst_return": -0.588423, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.146013, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.157027, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.131506, "worst_return": -0.637104, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.545411, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.746703, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": -0.165517, "worst_return": -0.875, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.850038, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -1.086449, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.804386, "worst_return": -0.89569, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-10-06", "end": "2023-11-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.061088, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-11-17", "end": "2024-01-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.041796, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-01-12", "end": "2024-02-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.046079, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-02-23", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.032527, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward 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"regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.333333, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.070175, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.392593, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.951667, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 12.0, "volume": 2260, "typical_volume": 3029.6, "trend": 11.37797, "fair_value": 10.592702, "relative_strength": -5.970512, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.289345, 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"fair_value": 4.559335, "relative_strength": -84.119111, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.306179, "energy": 76.73735, "activity_lines": [ 0.096333, 0.111585, 0.144473, 0.182668 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0787, "volume": 248668784, "typical_volume": 22071061.85, "trend": 0.230517, "fair_value": 4.482916, "relative_strength": -83.350626, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.653062, "energy": 70.82566, "activity_lines": [ 0.088833, 0.102762, 0.135225, 0.172135 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.029, "volume": 156977092, "typical_volume": 29846653.0, "trend": 0.217383, "fair_value": 4.40714, "relative_strength": -93.76693, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.143827, "energy": 74.510205, "activity_lines": [ 0.066787, 0.086384, 0.122203, 0.159134 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }