{ "ticker": { "uuid": "901d9cf8-b4e6-4940-a024-c6282c5f2175", "symbol": "002372", "name": "Zhejiang Weixing New Building Materials Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.037, "architecture_energy": 49.517, "architecture_maturity": 74.086, "architecture_confidence": 84.303, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.13, "rotation_up": 27.22, "upward_expansion": 12.69, "deceleration": 60.92, "rotation_down": 49.7, "downward_expansion": 77.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.382667, 8.383455, 8.931797, 9.424376 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.64, "trend_reference": 10.023867, "distance_from_trend": -0.138057, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.937219, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.276213, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.066359, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.282914, "excess_performance": -0.290313, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.138057, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050474, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.276213, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10306, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.170664, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016837, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.282914, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.530251, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 82837438, "relative_activity": 1.735853, "balance": 0.530251, "dry_up": 1.815363, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080306, "annualized_volatility": 0.290971, "from_high_reference": -0.298135, "from_low_reference": 0.159732 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.023867, "fair_value_reference": 11.937219, "structural_low": 7.45, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.003735, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.005964, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.210412, "worst_return": -0.165349, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.021116, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.048194, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.12716, "worst_return": -0.22703, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.044852, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.022337, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.169197, "worst_return": -0.292421, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.958847, "energy": 92.694071, "activity_lines": [ 8.352667, 8.847636, 9.484128, 9.909482 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.79, "volume": 91227046, "typical_volume": 43631760.15, "trend": 10.208867, "fair_value": 12.105188, "relative_strength": -23.904333, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.543933, "energy": 91.261174, "activity_lines": [ 8.1, 8.579273, 9.272613, 9.748825 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.98, "volume": 94346712, "typical_volume": 45598754.25, "trend": 10.127759, "fair_value": 12.04681, "relative_strength": -21.737603, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.004907, "energy": 79.354504, "activity_lines": [ 8.018, 8.394545, 9.098643, 9.605027 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.76, "volume": 78115986, "typical_volume": 46286730.35, "trend": 10.072329, "fair_value": 11.994716, "relative_strength": -12.137609, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.622593, "energy": 60.164725, "activity_lines": [ 8.24, 8.389818, 9.014786, 9.516785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.64, "volume": 82837438, "typical_volume": 47721469.05, "trend": 10.023867, "fair_value": 11.937219, "relative_strength": -17.066359, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.036593, "energy": 49.517073, "activity_lines": [ 8.382667, 8.383455, 8.931797, 9.424376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }