{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "902b097a-523b-4b0e-94cf-07b85eb9e734",
    "symbol": "226380",
    "name": "KINDEX Korean Culture ETF",
    "exchange": "KSC",
    "country": "KR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^KS11",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -46.791,
    "architecture_energy": 36.331,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.649,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.204,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.17,
        "rotation_up": 25.17,
        "upward_expansion": 16.58,
        "deceleration": 66.48,
        "rotation_down": 41.92,
        "downward_expansion": 66.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 5995.0,
    "trend_reference": 6346.367871,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.055365,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 6062.042455,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.011059,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -29.072055,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.121695,
    "excess_performance": -0.351524,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.055365,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041211,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011059,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.101536,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.290721,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.201387,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.121695,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.88642,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13335,
      "relative_activity": 2.457657,
      "balance": 0.88642,
      "dry_up": 0.951409,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.062899,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.3002,
      "from_high_reference": -0.182268,
      "from_low_reference": 0.153994
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6346.367871,
      "fair_value_reference": 6062.042455,
      "structural_low": 5195.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": -0.016231,
        "positive_rate": 0.407407,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.592593,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010192,
        "regime_survival": 0.740741,
        "best_return": 0.106325,
        "worst_return": -0.083471,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.001747,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005073,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.066368,
        "worst_return": -0.154158,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.00099,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005118,
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        "worst_return": -0.187198,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.018457,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.362465,
        "worst_return": -0.206131,
        "sufficient": false
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        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.04918,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.081081,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009615,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 752,
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        "fair_value": 6064.55234,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 62.950131,
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          6038.908271,
          6231.89993
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 5545.0,
        "volume": 3766,
        "typical_volume": 5082.8,
        "trend": 6395.754378,
        "fair_value": 6064.373951,
        "relative_strength": -40.880539,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.878562,
        "energy": 53.694273,
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          5972.256789,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5565.0,
        "volume": 2796,
        "typical_volume": 5171.25,
        "trend": 6360.507243,
        "fair_value": 6062.983367,
        "relative_strength": -38.658504,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.444162,
        "energy": 49.381271,
        "activity_lines": [
          5588.333333,
          5626.181818,
          5912.262944,
          6121.535534
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5995.0,
        "volume": 13335,
        "typical_volume": 5425.9,
        "trend": 6346.367871,
        "fair_value": 6062.042455,
        "relative_strength": -29.072055,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.790784,
        "energy": 36.330916,
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          6097.954422
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}