{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9032ddc9-69fa-4255-897e-3310e03a4eaa", "symbol": "002496", "name": "Jiangsu Huifeng Bio Agriculture Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 62.792, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -21.166, "architecture_energy": 39.497, "architecture_maturity": 7.743, "architecture_confidence": 60.652, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.71, "rotation_up": 15.82, "upward_expansion": 21.66, "deceleration": 52.88, "rotation_down": 61.22, "downward_expansion": 48.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.95, 2.015818, 2.132143, 2.119806 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.99, "trend_reference": 2.087667, "distance_from_trend": -0.046783, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.98141, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.004335, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.225984, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.105556, "excess_performance": 0.098156, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.046783, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057403, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.004335, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138943, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.01226, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041588, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.105556, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.757339, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 114136660, "relative_activity": 0.910981, "balance": 0.757339, "dry_up": 0.888257, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124468, "annualized_volatility": 0.474929, "from_high_reference": -0.281588, "from_low_reference": 0.309211 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.087667, "fair_value_reference": 1.98141, "structural_low": 1.71, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.051661, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.014703, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.188406, "worst_return": -0.031496, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.00369, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.064496, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.227053, "worst_return": -0.027559, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.027559, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.017549, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.147601, "worst_return": -0.289855, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.101124, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.054878, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.039106, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.012048, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.136095, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Established", 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"activity_lines": [ 2.12, 2.233273, 2.216429, 2.154903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.98, "volume": 113436399, "typical_volume": 140981628.6, "trend": 2.071667, "fair_value": 1.996603, "relative_strength": 4.373677, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.994821, "energy": 27.392419, "activity_lines": [ 2.062, 2.174182, 2.198667, 2.149634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.86, "volume": 114653538, "typical_volume": 139458440.6, "trend": 2.078, "fair_value": 1.992179, "relative_strength": -2.040113, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.606828, "energy": 32.570082, "activity_lines": [ 1.988, 2.098909, 2.169429, 2.135978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.92, "volume": 102931620, "typical_volume": 129041643.1, "trend": 2.082667, "fair_value": 1.985513, "relative_strength": 2.758435, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.152831, "energy": 40.648826, "activity_lines": [ 1.958, 2.044545, 2.146952, 2.125785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.99, "volume": 114136660, "typical_volume": 125289832.05, "trend": 2.087667, "fair_value": 1.98141, "relative_strength": 1.225984, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.165655, "energy": 39.497415, "activity_lines": [ 1.95, 2.015818, 2.132143, 2.119806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }