{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9040d323-7d9e-467f-ad85-2d5be56d0fd7", "symbol": "MMMC34", "name": "3M Company", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 87.181, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.776, "architecture_energy": 89.102, "architecture_maturity": 26.131, "architecture_confidence": 77.252, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.19, "rotation_up": 83.37, "upward_expansion": 95.56, "deceleration": 42.18, "rotation_down": 8.73, "downward_expansion": 19.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 222.177999, 215.650726, 205.606448, 202.432411 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 232.759995, "trend_reference": 202.111914, "distance_from_trend": 0.151639, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 175.801367, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.323994, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.161274, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.029215, "excess_performance": 0.086263, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.151639, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019241, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.323994, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.288048, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.071613, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.363134, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.029215, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.530857, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1309, "relative_activity": 0.839022, "balance": 5.530857, "dry_up": 0.645611, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043568, "annualized_volatility": 0.252622, "from_high_reference": -0.013645, "from_low_reference": 0.341843 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 202.111914, "fair_value_reference": 175.801367, "structural_low": 173.46294, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.008491, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.03331, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.023881, "worst_return": -0.185075, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.085254, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.038018, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.005014, "worst_return": -0.110013, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.063103, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012811, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.051021, "worst_return": -0.177227, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.120426, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.124326, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.547326, "worst_return": -0.306474, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-01-05", "end": "2024-02-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.104697, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-02-09", "end": "2024-02-16", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.001702, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-02-23", "end": "2024-03-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.158271, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-29", "end": "2024-04-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.113331, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 53.504401, "energy": 47.591851, "activity_lines": [ 210.595332, 207.27109, 199.341743, 198.982522 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 223.800003, "volume": 1005, "typical_volume": 1579.45, "trend": 201.679457, "fair_value": 175.082088, "relative_strength": -0.389396, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 55.648514, "energy": 52.897033, "activity_lines": [ 215.262667, 210.944181, 202.102514, 200.427215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 232.759995, "volume": 1309, "typical_volume": 1560.15, "trend": 202.111914, "fair_value": 175.801367, "relative_strength": 7.161274, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.775714, "energy": 89.101979, "activity_lines": [ 222.177999, 215.650726, 205.606448, 202.432411 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }