{ "ticker": { "uuid": "904e557a-af70-4501-9440-de31af7946d8", "symbol": "STSL", "name": "Leverage Shares -1x Tesla ETP Securities", "exchange": "AMS", "country": "NL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AEX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 55.795, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 95.223, "architecture_energy": 98.328, "architecture_maturity": 12.537, "architecture_confidence": 57.56, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.39, "rotation_up": 82.85, "upward_expansion": 93.0, "deceleration": 47.5, "rotation_down": 8.0, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.287419, 22.441159, 21.92218, 21.616939 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 23.834999, "trend_reference": 21.061033, "distance_from_trend": 0.131711, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.106534, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.393327, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.355946, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.208978, "excess_performance": 0.092315, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.131711, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.162569, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.393327, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018888, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.223559, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135903, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.208978, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 1.976744, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.008836, "annualized_volatility": 0.259534, "from_high_reference": -0.336072, "from_low_reference": 0.271831 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.061033, "fair_value_reference": 17.106534, "structural_low": 19.715, "invalidation": "A decisive 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16.264634, "relative_strength": -33.330249, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.796726, "energy": 47.927327, "activity_lines": [ 21.097099, 21.097099, 21.229333, 21.431851 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 21.097099, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.8, "trend": 22.682417, "fair_value": 16.396305, "relative_strength": -33.857548, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.824026, "energy": 40.730866, "activity_lines": [ 21.097099, 21.097099, 21.237001, 21.297738 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 21.097099, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.8, "trend": 22.188986, "fair_value": 16.52809, "relative_strength": -33.069231, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.215439, "energy": 42.324452, "activity_lines": [ 21.097099, 21.097099, 21.238087, 21.195459 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 21.097099, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1.8, "trend": 21.695556, "fair_value": 16.659641, "relative_strength": -32.650385, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.31672, "energy": 37.485249, "activity_lines": [ 21.097099, 21.097099, 21.232592, 21.125015 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.834999, "volume": 17, "typical_volume": 2.65, "trend": 21.29339, "fair_value": 16.808755, "relative_strength": -22.855466, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 65.931171, "energy": 87.487777, "activity_lines": [ 22.009732, 21.594899, 21.481267, 21.263044 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.834999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.15, "trend": 20.891223, "fair_value": 16.957797, "relative_strength": -22.503916, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 94.653646, "energy": 98.12492, "activity_lines": [ 22.739839, 22.042919, 21.710324, 21.427018 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.834999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.15, "trend": 21.061033, "fair_value": 17.106534, "relative_strength": -22.355946, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.222724, "energy": 98.327901, "activity_lines": [ 23.287419, 22.441159, 21.92218, 21.616939 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }